An interesting anniversary considering what tomorrow is: Today in 1978, the U.S. Supreme Court upheld a Federal Communications Commission ruling punishing WBAI radio in New York City for broadcasting George Carlin’s Seven Dirty Words. (If you click on the link, remember, you’ve been warned.)
I have to issue an apology. Not on my behalf, but on behalf of my generation. You see, we are the reason the world has to deal with a couple of self righteous, selfish, and entitled generations. It is because of us that things have taken such a turn for the worse.
When I was growing up, it was the beginning of the “self esteem” movement. We were taught that our self esteem was not only important, it was paramount. How we felt about ourselves was the most important part of our lives. It didn’t matter how it affected others, as long as we felt good about ourselves, we could do anything. As you can imagine, this particular attitude is not completely healthy.
So, naturally, we took that attitude and applied it to our children. Only we took it to a laughable extreme. We not only shielded our kids from negative feelings, we took steps to insure that nothing bad ever happened to them. We created the “bubble wrapped” generation. No hardships at all. Not even losing at sports. We gave them everything they wanted. We taught them that they were special and they didn’t have to worry about feeling bad and they deserve everything they want.
As you can suspect, that is not a wholly healthy attitude either. We sent out waves of young adults into the world who had no idea how to handle negative stimuli. They never were given the opportunity to experience hardships and learn how to deal with it. So now, being thrust into a world where they aren’t the center of attention, we have at least one entire generation who lack the basic skills to handle day to day life and they respond with the only mechanism that they know…primal rage.
As Razorfist described in his great rant, “Of School Shooters and Fabergé Eggs: A Rant” we created an entire generation (I think two, but that’s semantics) of Fabergé Eggs…ornate on the outside, perfectly hollow on the inside. The slightest bump or shake and the entire egg collapses in on itself…often with violent results.
We caused this. We caused the screaming. We caused the screeching. We caused the entitlement. We caused the shootings. We caused all of it. We created the most narcissistic, self obsessive, entitled generation the country has ever seen. We are now reaping what we sowed. The only question left is, can we reverse it?
So for that, I, on behalf of my generation, apologize. We didn’t mean it, but we did cause it.
Well, I don’t, because we didn’t raise our kids this way. We were not helicopter parents. I don’t believe we shielded our kids from the consequences of their actions, or from hurt feelings. Their schools may have overloaded on self-esteem, but their parents did not.
I would say our two sons have turned out quite well. They’re both fully (or more) employed responsible citizens living on their own, not in their parents’ basement, in their early 20s. Our daughter just graduated from high school, and is attending college this fall, so she doesn’t get a grade yet.
This is far from the first attempt to blame a generation for the faults of that generation’s children. Facebook Friend Greg Apologia writes the Christian Living and Influence blog in which he believes the current state of today’s permissive society is because of excessively permissive Baby Boomers, themselves the children of World War II veterans who wanted to provide for their kids and shield them from the horrors of what they witnessed. Of course, the world has the habit of creating new horrors in every generation.
I’m not entirely convinced in this theory because people of the same age who grow up during the same time might have similar shared experiences — for those of us in Gen X the space shuttle Challenger explosion, 9/11, the Great Recession and COVID-19 — but those experiences are shaped by where we are. Those of us celebrating (if that’s what you want to call it) Madison La Follette High School’s Class of 1983 40-year reunion grew up in a largely suburban, more white-collar than blue-collar part of Madison. That is a significantly different upbringing than growing up in an inner-city single-parent household, or growing up in a rural area.
I have concluded from observation that how children turn out depends a lot on the state of their parents’ marriage. My wife’s parents were married for 54 years. My parents have been married for 62 years. My generation is reputed for being the first “latch-key kids,” in which they would go home to an empty house after school because either both parents or the single parent was working. I don’t know about the importance of that (my mother was also working while we were in middle school), but I do believe that if your parents were divorced, divorce appears to you to be the natural state instead of parents staying married. Similarly those people who had absent fathers would see that as normal as well (and then act accordingly), to the great detriment of our society today.
Here’s an odd anniversary: Four days after Cher divorced Sonny Bono, she married Gregg Allman. Come back to this blog in nine days to find out what happened next.
Birthdays start with Florence Ballard of the Supremes …
The challenge: Biden really has two economic records. One of them begins in late 2021 and consists of a series of legislative wins on infrastructure, semiconductor production and renewable energy, which he then preserved in a debt-ceiling deal with Republicans. These policies could shape the economy for years to come.
That record, though, is overshadowed by the record of his first months in office, when his American Rescue Plan pumped $1.9 trillion of demand into a supply-constrained economy. The result was the tightest job market in memory and a surge in inflation that still hangs over Biden’s approval ratings and his prospects for re-election.
In his speech in Chicago on Wednesday, Biden isn’t likely to distinguish between these two records: It’s all “Bidenomics,” a vision intended to “grow the middle class” and build stuff such as roads and factories. This doesn’t tell us much about what distinguishes Biden from other presidents, though. Don’t they all claim to want a stronger middle class and more roads and factories?
His early agenda was also not particularly novel. The Rescue Plan was old-fashioned Keynesian demand stimulus, notable mostly for its sheer size. Biden’s staff designed it with the economy of 2009 in mind, when newly elected President Barack Obama and Biden, his vice president, faced a deep recession to be followed by a sluggish, yearslong recovery.
Biden’s team is still sticking to that narrative. In a memo released this week, his political strategists Anita Dunn and Mike Donilon write that Biden “faced an immediate economic crisis when he took office.”
Actually, he didn’t. By January 2021, the economic crisis brought on by Covid-19 was largely over, even if the health crisis wasn’t. As lockdowns were lifted and vaccines approved, businesses were furiously rehiring. Payroll growth averaged 800,000 a month over the last six months of 2020, in percentage terms the strongest such streak preceding a new president’s inauguration since 1952.
The American Rescue Plan, in other words, was designed to bolster demand in an economy that already had plenty.
Dunn and Donilon’s memo boasts that job creation under Biden has been the strongest of any president going back at least to Ronald Reagan.
Much of that reflected recovery from the pandemic, which would have happened under any president. Still, the Rescue Plan probably explains why the U.S. recovery has been stronger than in countries with less stimulus. With the labor force depressed by retirements, the virus and reduced immigration, the result was the tightest labor market in memory. That particularly benefited historically disadvantaged groups: Blacks, Hispanics and workers without college degrees.
But many of the benefits of that tight labor market have been negated by inflation. It soared from 2% just before the pandemic to a peak of 9.1% last year as gasoline prices leapt in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. It has since retreated to 4% as gasoline prices dropped, but underlying inflation persists around 4% to 5%.
Inflation is the main reason voters disapprove of Biden’s handling of the economy by a two-to-one ratio, according to a May poll by the Associated Press and NORC Center for Public Affairs Research. If inflation doesn’t fade of its own accord, the Federal Reserve might have to raise interest rates further and push the economy into recession, which won’t help Biden’s approval ratings.
Historically, voters haven’t punished presidents for economic hardship brought on by events beyond their control. George W. Bush’s approval rose after the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks brought on recession, as did Donald Trump’s when Covid first hit in 2020. Since inflation has risen in almost every advanced country since the pandemic, Biden could logically claim it wasn’t his fault.
But it’s logically inconsistent for Biden to disown inflation while taking credit for tight labor markets since they are mirror images of the same thing: an overheated economy. While economists debate how much stimulus contributed to this overheating, they agree it played a part. Voters are thus less inclined to give Biden a pass, especially since Republicans, and even some Democrats, keep reminding them of the connection.
If Biden’s early agenda was all about macroeconomics—unemployment and inflation—his subsequent agenda has been about microeconomics, i.e., the composition of economic growth. Trump’s frequent “infrastructure weeks” never actually led to new infrastructure. Biden, by contrast, got a massive infrastructure bill through Congress in 2021 and it went beyond roads to water treatment and high-speed internet. The Chips and Science Act last year was the largest federal commitment to industrial policy in recent history. The Inflation Reduction Act offered game-changing incentives for renewable energy and electric vehicles.
In a report Tuesday, the Treasury Department said those initiatives are making an imprint on the economic data. Factory construction, for example, has shot up, particularly for electronics. Not all of this is due to legislation: Semiconductor companies were increasing their U.S. footprint already in response to growing demand and pressure to diversify away from Asia. Nonetheless, comments of business leaders make it clear the effect on their plans is palpable.
This newly assertive role for the federal government in shaping private investment isn’t without controversy. It is bulking up deficits, its “buy American” provisions have upset allies, and it has lowered the bar to interventions of questionable merit.
Nor is it likely to change Biden’s political prospects: The effects on voters’ lives are small and gradual, whereas the effects of inflation and unemployment are big and immediate.
Still, this part of Bidenomics represents a break with the past in ways stimulus didn’t. It is also popular: All three laws are backed by voters by large margins, according to polls by Morning Consult, and the infrastructure and semiconductor bills garnered Republican support in Congress. This likely confers staying power long beyond the next election, when inflation has faded from the headlines.
In an interview, Jared Bernstein, chair of Biden’s Council of Economic Advisers, said: “When you’re engaged in an investment agenda, you’re partly playing the long game.”
President Biden is taking a page out of former President Jimmy Carter’s playbook by doubling down on policies that have resulted in soaring inflation.
Mr. Biden appeared in Chicago on Wednesday to argue that Bidenomics — taxing the wealthy and spending massively to subsidize industries and on what he calls the danger of climate change — has spurred an American economic resurgence.
He told the crowd more government programs canceling student loans and bringing high-speed internet to rural communities will lead to a revitalized middle class.
“We have a plan that’s turning things around incredibly quickly,” Mr. Biden said.
“Bidenomics is turning this around. We are supporting targeted investments for strengthening America’s economic security, our national security, energy security and our climate security.”
Boasting about the economy while many Americans are struggling with high inflation, interest rates that make buying a house or car more expensive and increased spending on household items like groceries, gas and child care may seem like an unusual campaign strategy. But as Mr. Biden tries to convince Americans he deserves four more years in 2024, his campaign is digging in its heels that Bidenomics is working.
Wednesday’s event was part of a three-week blitz of events and speeches to tout Mr. Biden’s economic agenda. On Friday, he will give remarks from the White House arguing that he has lowered costs for Americans.
He is not the first president to attempt this strategy, but he’s hoping for a more successful result than when Mr. Carter tried it in 1979.
Like Mr. Biden, Mr. Carter struggled to contain soaring prices. He also tried to argue that his economic policies were working ahead of his blowout loss to Ronald Reagan in the 1980 election.
“Biden is taking a page from Jimmy Carter because he doesn’t believe Jimmy Carter failed,” historian Craig Shirley said. “If Biden believes Jimmy Carter failed at anything, it’s that he didn’t go far enough with spending.”
Under Mr. Carter, U.S. inflation rose by an average of more than 11% in 1979 and 14% in 1980. When Mr. Biden took office, inflation was at 1.4% and peaked at 9.1% in June 2021, a figure not seen in more than 40 years. It receded to 5% in December 2021 and is currently at 5.6%.
The Consumer Price Index rose from 4.8% at the time of Mr. Carter’s victory in 1976 to 12% ahead of the 1980 election, largely fueled by high gas prices.
Yet Mr. Carter still tried to convince voters his policies were working.
“Our proposals are very sound and very carefully considered to stimulate jobs, improve the industrial complex of this country, to create tools for American workers and at the same time be anti-inflationary in nature,” Mr. Carter said at the second 1980 presidential debate, pledging that his policies would create 9 million jobs.
An Associated Press NORC Center for Public Affairs poll released Wednesday revealed that 64% of adults disapproved of Mr. Biden’s economic leadership. That’s worse than his overall 58% disapproval rating.
With only 34% of voters approving of Mr. Biden’s handling of the economy, that gives the president a net approval rating of negative 30
That is the lowest net economic approval rating since 1978, when Mr. Carter had a net approval rating of negative 28%.
Are voters stupid enough to buy Biden? They did once already.
There was a definite horn rock theme today in 1968, as proven by number seven …
… six …
… two …
… and one on the charts:
Today in 1971, Mick Jagger and Keith Richards were sentenced on drug charges. And, of course, you could replace “1971” with any year and Jagger’ and Richards’ names with practically any rock musician’s name of those days.
Or other people: Today in 2000, Eminem’s mother sued her son for defamation from the line “My mother smokes more dope than I do” from his “My Name Is.”
Birthdays start with LeRoy Anderson, whose first work was the theme music for many afternoon movies, but who is best known for his second work (with which I point out that Christmas is less than six months away):
It’s very hard to sustain a democracy when you have such massive concentrations of wealth. And so, part of my argument has been that unless we attend to that, unless we make people feel more economically secure and we’re taking more seriously the need to create ladders of opportunity and a stronger safety net that’s adapted to these new technologies and the displacements that are taking place around the world, if we don’t take care of that, that’s also going to fuel the kind of mostly far-right populism, but it can also potentially come from the left, that is undermining democracy because it makes people angry and resentful and scared.
The obvious criticism of Obama here is that he and his wife are walking, talking, “massive concentrations of wealth.”
In April 2010, then-president Obama declared, “At a certain point, you’ve made enough money.” Apparently, Obama hasn’t reached that point yet.
But it’s not just that Obama is objecting to the concentration of wealth while becoming fabulously wealthy himself. It’s that Obama’s assessment of what is driving modern American populism is likely quite wrong. He’s attempting to shoehorn a cliched left-wing progressive complaint about America to fit as an explanation for the current popularity of right-wing populism.
Perhaps some American populists on the Left are driven by an objection to massive concentrations of wealth. But right-wing populists in the United States adore a man who lives in a mansion in Mar-a-Lago and who brags about how wealthy he is. American populists may well sneer about the out-of-touch wealthy elites rigging the system, but they largely nodded when Trump named Steven Mnuchin as Secretary of the Treasury, Wilbur Ross as Secretary of Commerce, and Betsy DeVos as Secretary of Education. Trump’s cabinet featured 17 millionaires, two centimillionaires, and one billionaire.
Tucker Carlson made $20 million per year at Fox News, and few populists on the right saw that as any kind of problem. Populists have little objection to anybody being super rich, as long as those rich people tell them what they want to hear. And what populists particularly love hearing is that they’re being dissed.
So why is Obama looking at MAGA America and concluding that what truly drives its members is “massive concentrations of wealth” and economic insecurity? Because Obama’s assessment of Americans in flyover country hasn’t changed much since 2008, when he declared:
You go into these small towns in Pennsylvania and, like a lot of small towns in the Midwest, the jobs have been gone now for 25 years and nothing’s replaced them. And they fell through the Clinton administration, and the Bush administration, and each successive administration has said that somehow these communities are gonna regenerate and they have not. And it’s not surprising then they get bitter, they cling to guns or religion or antipathy toward people who aren’t like them or anti-immigrant sentiment or anti-trade sentiment as a way to explain their frustrations.
Obama has his explanation for why many religious, gun-owning, and working-class Americans have their views, and he’s not interested in updating or revising his assessment. Inherent but unspoken in his conclusion is that his own presidency didn’t do much to change the conditions of these voters, leading them to vote for Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton.
I would argue that America’s right-of-center populists aren’t all that driven by resentment or a lack of opportunity (more on this below). They’re often most driven by a perceived lack of respect.
They didn’t go to the right schools, they don’t work in professions that are glamorous or celebrated, their religious faith is mocked and derided, and Hollywood portrays them as a bunch of ignorant hicks. Many of them live in “flyover country,” which is seen as culturally backwards, easily and justifiably ignored. They work for a living and do not benefit from affirmative action, but they’re told that they have it easy because of “white privilege.” A lot of government officials treat their constitutionally protected ownership of a gun as a major problem to be solved, but shrug their shoulders at the insecure border and illegal immigration. Lots of Americans see a criminal-justice system that comes down like a ton of bricks on pro-life protesters while prominentbig-citydistrictattorneys declare they won’t prosecute whole classes of crimes.
The Obama team openly spoke about how its voters were a “coalition of the ascendant” — minorities, the millennial generation, and socially liberal upscale whites, especially women. This term means there must be a corresponding “coalition of the descendant” — whites, older Americans, social conservatives, married couples, and men. No one likes hearing that they’re outdated, sinking, or losing importance or relevance. Run around boasting that you don’t need certain demographics of voters long enough, and those demographics will conclude that they don’t need you, either.
Erick Erickson has an appropriate thought as we near Independence Day:
I’ve been thinking about this topic for a while and finally got motivated to write about it when I saw this tweet from Nate Silver. He tweets, “Kind of amazed how well the ‘Did You Possibly Feel A Small Pang of Joy? Here’s A Reason To Stay Miserable’ genre continues to do, though it was a pandemic thing but still going strong.” He highlights three stories: one against those rooting for orcas; one denouncing traveling from home; and one against using ice in cocktails because of climate change.
As Sonny Bunch notes, there is a reason environmentalists are so often the bad guys in movies. Thanos wanted to save the universe by killing half of humanity. In the Godzilla movies, the bad guys are environmentalists who want to unleash monsters to kill humanity and save the planet. In Aquaman, the bad guy thinks humans are destroying the earth. Go back to the Kingsmen movie and Samuel L. Jackson played a crazy environmentalist who wanted to wipe out the poor, unenlightened non-celebrity.
In real life, 60 Minutes has tried rehabilitating Paul Ehrlich, a Malthusian, in just the past year. New York City wants to regulate coal and wood-fired ovens out of existence. The feds want to take away gas stoves. Together with corporations, they want to ban the family road trip by forcing us into electric vehicles. More and more corporations push us to pay a small fee for climate offsets. They’re even pushing the trans agenda as a back door way to sterilize kids to prevent Paul Ehrlich’s population bomb.
Add into that the reaction to Noah Rothman’s piece at National Review on “The War on Things That Work.” You might have thought Rothman has carved up a sea turtle with plastic utensils. Leftists heaped scorn and disgust on him for making a very straightforward point:
By itself, an electric range, a heat pump, an ugly LED bulb, or a paper straw is a minor irritation. In a mandated aggregate, they look like a society-wide assault on the dignity of personal choice. Activists, like-minded bureaucrats, and their allies in elected office are, in the name of climate change, waging war against products and conventions that make everyday life work. For the targets of their hostility, they would substitute alternatives that either perform less effectively or demand more of your time and money. And you’re expected to bear this burden indefinitely. Or at least until you communicate your displeasure in no uncertain terms at the ballot box.
Rothman is absolutely right, and the left got angry at him for pointing it out.
These people are miserable and want you to be miserable. They cannot laugh. They have no sense of humor. They have chosen misery, lab-grown meat, and veganism. They have turned their backs on the ultimate plant-based food — cow, charred on a wood-burning flame — in favor of white guilt and childlessness.
That’s going to be on the ballot in 2024. Americans who can laugh at things have a way to break through. Most Americans, I think, are getting resentful of the bitter malcontents always lecturing us and sucking the joy out of life like Dementors from Harry Potter.
This is why I don’t discount Tim Scott, who always has a smile and laughs at these absurdities with an upbeat, positive message about America. It’s why I think Mike Pence, who believes in the greatness of the country, has an opportunity to carry a message forward. Haley, DeSantis, and all of them really can use the left’s misery and madness to rally Americans against it.
The left is dominant in cultural institutions. They don’t care for the country. They think your skin color defines your lot in life. Just look at the Yale-graduated New York Times editorial assistant who wrote that believing hard work can propel you forward in society just props up white supremacy. They are a loud minority who should be mocked, laughed at, and repudiated.
The GOP should put happiness on the ballot in 2024. Run against the misery of the Dementors who suck joy out of life, would deprive you of smoked meats and Neapolitan pizzas, and want to force you to stay home and masked.