Today in 1942 premiered what now is the second longest running program in the history of radio — the BBC’s “Desert Island Discs”:
What’s the longest running program in the history of radio? The Grand Ole Opry.
Today in 1968, the Doors appeared at the Pussy Cat a Go Go in Las Vegas. After the show, Jim Morrison pretended to light up a marijuana cigarette outside. The resulting fight with a security guard concluded with Morrison’s arrest for vagancy, public drunkenness, and failure to possess identification.
The number one British single today in 1969 was its only British number one:
The number one British album today in 1972 was the three-disc “The Concert for Bangladesh”:
The number one single today in 1977:
The number one single today in 2009 was number 97 one week earlier, which shows what showing an excerpt on Fox’s “American Idol” will do:
Today in 1979, Brenda Spencer, 16, fired shots from her .22 rifle at a San Diego elementary school entrance from her house across the street, killing two and injuring nine. When asked why she did it, she replied, “I don’t like Mondays,” which inspired …
Today in 1982, Gary Numan made a forced landing at a Royal Air Force base outside Southampton, England, after his plane ran low on fuel. British media ran inaccurate stories that he had crash-landed on a highway instead. Perhaps instead of flying, Numan should have stuck to …
Birthdays begin with Tony Blackburn, DJ on the late pirate Radio Caroline and the first DJ on BBC Radio One:
David Byron sang for Uriah Heep:
Who is Thomas Erdelyi? Tommy Ramone, drummer for the Ramones:
Louie Perez of Los Lobos:
Rob Manzoli of Right Said Fred:
Eddie Jackson played bass for Queensryche:
Marcus Verne of Living in a Box, which emulated Bad Company in one sense:
Today in 1956, Elvis Presley made his first national TV appearance on, of all places, Tommy and Jimmy Dorsey’s “Stage Show” on CBS.
The number one album on both sides of the Atlantic today in 1978 was Fleetwood Mac’s “Rumours”:
The number one single today in 1984 was banned by the BBC, which probably helped it stay on the charts for 48 weeks:
Today in 1984, Mötley Crüe’s Tommy Lee punched out someone who commented on the Penthouse Magazine pictorial of his girlfriend, Elaine Starchuk:
Despite the fact that Lee hadn’t known until that moment that Starchuk had posed for Penthouse, the two later married. For either one or three months depending on which report you believe.
Today in 1985, the all-star USA for Africa recorded “We Are the World”:
The short list of birthdays begins with Rick Allen of the Box Tops:
One-hit-wonder Peter Schilling:
Sarah McLachlan:
Two deaths of note today: Jim Capaldi of Traffic in 2005 …
The death of longtime Penn State football coach Joe Paterno Sunday prompted the Green Bay Press–Gazette to a trip with its what-if machine:
Did you know the Green Bay Packers almost hired Joe Paterno as their head coach?
Really, apparently. After the Packers fired Phil Bengtson after three mediocre seasons, the Packers tried, but were unable, to hire recently fired Los Angeles Rams coach George Allen.
That would have been an interesting hire. Allen was hired by the Rams after a successful stint as George Halas’ defensive coordinator in Chicago. Allen had a Wisconsin connection, having attended Marquette University as part of a U.S. Navy officer training program during World War II. Allen was hired, fired and rehired by the Rams before being the full-time replacement for Vince Lombardi in Washington after Lombardi’s death.
It’s ironic that Allen, whose Bears responsibilities included their college draft, was responsible for the Bears’ drafting three Hall of Famers — Mike Ditka, Dick Butkus and Gale Sayers. Once Allen became a head coach, his mantra became “The future is now,” and Allen invariably would trade draft picks for veteran players. (Which may not have been the worst strategy for the Packers given their awful drafts of the late 1960s, 1970s and 1980s.)
Allen was fired by the Redskins, with owner Edward Bennett Williams famously saying, “George was given an unlimited budget and he exceeded it,” and then a third time by the Rams after two preseason games, with owner Carroll Rosenbloom saying, “He got unlimited authority and exceeded it.” So Allen as a Packer probably would not have ended well, although Packer fans would have preferred Allen’s winning 71 percent of his games to what followed.
So after Allen …
… the Packers interviewed four candidates: Bob Schnelker, who had been an assistant under Vince Lombardi and Bengtson’s offensive coordinator; Arizona State coach Frank Kush; Missouri coach Dan Devine; and Paterno.
It came down to Paterno and Devine.
Two members of the executive committee, Tony Canadeo and Dick Bourguignon, wanted Paterno because he reminded them of Vince Lombardi. Both Paterno and Lombardi grew up in Brooklyn and were Catholics of Italian descent. They knew of each other dating to the 1940s, when Lombardi coached high school for St. Cecilia of Englewood, N.J., and defeated Paterno’s otherwise unbeaten team, Brooklyn Prep, when Paterno was a senior. In the ’60s, Lombardi often consulted Paterno about college players. …
Former Packers great Dave Robinson, who played at Penn State when Paterno was an assistant coach, said last year that Paterno told him he would have accepted if the Packers had offered. A Green Bay Press-Gazette story at the time quoted Paterno saying almost as much.
“There are coaching situations that are unique, and this could be one of those,” Paterno said of the Packers. “It’s a great opportunity.”
But not for Paterno. The Packers’ executive committee voted 5–2 for Devine, who had won 27 games in three seasons at Arizona State and 93 games in 13 seasons at Missouri.
Truth be told, neither Paterno nor Devine nor Schnelker nor Kush would have worked out. (The word “Schnelker” later became a four-letter word for Packer fans who blamed Bart Starr’s offensive coordinator for essentially the faults of the Packers’ offensive players.) Devine accomplished two positive things: (1) his 1972 team won the NFC Central (and then lost to Allen’s Redskins in the playoffs), and (2) he hired Bob Harlan as an assistant.
Devine also accomplished, if that’s what you want to call it, one of the most infamous trades in NFL history — the trade of two first-round draft picks, two second-round picks and a third-round pick to the Rams to get quarterback John Hadl. (The trade was known as the “Lawrence Welk trade,” since it involved “a-one and-a-two and-a-three.”) Starr had to clean up that mess by trading Hadl, former All-Pro cornerback Ken Ellis and two draft picks to Houston to get quarterback Lynn Dickey, which meant that Hadl cost five draft picks to acquire and a player and two more draft picks to get rid of him.
Even in the ’70s, though, the majority of successful NFL coaches — Miami’s Don Shula, Pittsburgh’s Chuck Noll, Oakland’s John Madden and Dallas’ Tom Landry, to name the four most prominent examples — came from NFL, not college, backgrounds. The Packers’ executive committee labored under the misapprehension that just because Lombardi had been a successful general manager and coach (and truth be told, he was much more successful at the latter part of his title than the former), that his successors could succeed as well.
The fact that Paterno didn’t become anyone else’s NFL coach probably proves that either the rest of the NFL was unconvinced he could be a pro coach (he rejected the Packers after he rejected Steelers’ overtures), or that Paterno decided he had things pretty good in Happy Valley. (I saw Paterno win one of his national championships at the 1983 Sugar Bowl.) But even in the ’70s, the job of acquiring players and the job of coaching players could not be handled by one man, regardless of who answered to whom in the organizational flow chart. (Even in the NFL, coaches are only as good as their players, and the fact that not many Packers the team finally gave up on played elsewhere in the NFL proves that neither Devine nor Starr nor Forrest Gregg could handle the GM parts of their jobs.) Either the Packers’ executive committee was too cheap to hire a GM and a coach instead of a GM/coach, or they drew the wrong conclusion about Lombardi’s success.
The right conclusion would have been to hire a head coach with a primarily pro background, an assistant from a successful NFL team, like Lombardi, former offensive coordinator of the New York Giants. Not until the late 1980s did they finally hire a GM before a coach, and, well, they got the choices right on the second, not first, round. Mike Sherman’s term as GM/coach proved they got it right before, and of course after they fired Sherman (technically twice).
The announcer who got to cover the results of years of managerial ineptitude was Jim Irwin, Wisconsin’s iron-man announcer, who died Sunday night. Consider Irwin’s schedule after he moved from WLUK-TV in Green Bay to WTMJ radio in Milwaukee:
He did the morning sports report on WTMJ. That, of course, meant getting up before dawn.
On fall Saturdays, he went to Madison to announce Badger football. He split play-by-play and color with Gary Bender until Bender went to CBS in 1975.
On fall Sundays, he went to Green Bay to announce Packer football. He did color with Ted Moore and then Bender before getting the play-by-play job in 1975.
In the winter (after a stint announcing UW–Milwaukee basketball, working with, of all people, Bob Uecker), he announced Badger basketball until 1979, when he replaced Eddie Doucette as the Bucks’ radio voice. Some weekends, he had a Badgers–Packers–Bucks tripleheader.
Irwin occasionally stood in for Uecker on Brewers broadcasts because of Uecker’s ABC-TV commitments and, during one summer, when Uecker missed time after heart surgery.
Unfortunately, much of Irwin’s Packer and Badger work chronicled ineptitude — not his, but the teams he was covering. During the 1970s, the Badgers had two winning seasons, and the Packers had two winning seasons. In 1988, the Packers were 4–12, and the Badgers were 1–11. Current Badger announcer Matt Lepay said he had a great experience working with Irwin on his last two years of Badger football, even though those two years featured exactly three Badger wins.
Irwin did have some Badger highlights, including three 1980s bowl trips:
Irwin also got to cover the Bucks when they were the fourth best team in the NBA in the early 1980s. (Unfortunately they could never get past the Celtics, 76ers or Lakers.) As an NBA announcer, Irwin was a world champion referee-baiter; I remember him yelling at officials from his courtside seat while doing play-by-play.
Irwin was certainly a homer. But that’s really what Wisconsin fans want, or have gotten used to, dating back at least as far as Milwaukee Braves announcer Earl Gillespie. Wisconsin sports fans want their announcers to want their teams to win; objective down-the-middle announcers don’t last too long here. (And team announcers should want their employers to win if for no other reason than their own professional interests.) Midwest sports listeners generally and Wisconsin sports listeners specifically will forgive not terribly descriptive play-by-play, but they will not forgive lack of passion. There was never a question who Irwin wanted to win.
Either because of Irwin and partner Max McGee’s popularity, or because the announcers CBS had do Packer games were so bad, for years Packer fans would watch CBS (or NBC if an AFC team was playing at Lambeau Field or Milwaukee County Stadium), but turn down the sound and listen to Jim and Max. For years, the pair would do something you’re unlikely to hear again — take calls from fans at the half, sometimes a dangerous thing to do in this state given what usually accompanies Packer games.
Larry McCarren, who worked with Irwin and McGee for their final four seasons, described their style:
“They were part of the fabric of Packers games,” McCarren said of Irwin and McGee, who worked together for 20 years. “They were as much a part of the game as the coin toss, kickoff, blocking and tackling.
“Jim, his individual style, fairly folksy, clearly he was a Packer fan. The thing I really admired about him, the talent I thought was really unique, he could up the intensity without turning up the volume. Some guys that do play-by-play, you can tell something important’s going on, something big’s going on because they just talk louder or holler louder. With Jim, it was intensity that grew and you could tell it was coming right from his core.”
The 25 years of Packer ineptitude Irwin was sentenced to cover was made up, however, by his final seven years, when, miracle of miracles, the Packers became pretty much an instant contender, highlighted by Super Bowls XXXI and XXXII.
I got to meet Irwin at the unveiling of the 1996 Packers highlight video at the Weidner Center in Green Bay, where Irwin’s career highlights were showcased. Irwin and McGee retired after the 1998 season, when Irwin brushed off his 612 consecutive Packer games as being nothing special because, well, “there was no one else.” Had Irwin not been able to announce a Packer game, he added, “You want to see panic, that would be it.”
Irwin also had the ability to laugh at himself. The opening of the “Stories of the Strange” segment of WTMJ’s former Green House show, included Irwin saying “Phil will have allllllll of the stories …” then, laughing, he added, “I’m imitating myself.”
Most Wisconsin-raised announcers around my age grew up listening to Irwin because of all the sports he did, something you’ll probably never see again. (Irwin’s former workload is currently filled by four announcers, WTMJ’s Greg Matzek, Lepay, the Packers’ Wayne Larrivee, and the Bucks’ Ted Davis.) None of us probably consciously patterned ourselves on Irwin (who grew up in Missouri as a fan of Harry Caray), but all of us probably sound something like him. That’s a pretty good tribute to Irwin if you think about it.
The latest evidence that Gov. Scott Walker and the state Legislature haven’t done enough to improve the state’s business climate comes from the Tax Foundation’s 2012 State Business Tax Climate Index.
In 2011, after eight years of Democratic Gov. James Doyle and two years of a Democratic-controlled Legislature, Wisconsin ranked 41st among the 50 states.
In 2012, after a year of Republican Gov. Scott Walker and a Republican-controlled Legislature, Wisconsin ranks 43rd — 32nd in corporate taxes, 45th in personal income taxes, 16th in sales taxes, 21st in unemployment insurance taxes, and 32nd in property taxes.
In the Midwest, Wisconsin trails Indiana (11th), Michigan (18th), Illinois (28th, although the Land of Lincoln dropped 12 spots), Ohio (39th) and Iowa (41st), and leads only Minnesota (45th).
Wisconsin dropped because other states improved their business tax climates. Republicans might argue that the Legislature was too busy repairing the fiscal disaster area in which Doyle and Democrats left the state, but that doesn’t help convince someone sitting in an office figuring out how much doing business in Wisconsin will cost that business to come here.
Why does a state’s business tax environment matter?
It is important to remember that even in our global economy, states’ stiffest and most direct competition often comes from other states. The Department of Labor reports that most mass job relocations are from one U.S. state to another, rather than to an overseas location. Certainly job creation is rapid overseas, as previously underdeveloped nations enter the world economy without facing the second-highest corporate tax rate in the world, as U.S. businesses do. So state lawmakers are right to be concerned about how their states rank in the global competition for jobs and capital, but they need to be more concerned with companies moving from Detroit, MI, to Dayton, OH, rather than from Detroit to New Delhi. This means that state lawmakers must be aware of how their states’ business climates match up to their immediate neighbors and to other states within their regions.
Anecdotes about the impact of state tax systems on business investment are plentiful. In Illinois early last decade, hundreds of millions of dollars of capital investments were delayed when then-Governor Rod Blagojevich proposed a hefty gross receipts tax. Only when the legislature resoundingly defeated the bill did the investment resume. In 2005, California-based Intel decided to build a multi-billion dollar chip-making facility in Arizona due to its favorable corporate income tax system. In 2010 Northrup Grumman chose to move its headquarters to Virginia over Maryland, citing the better business tax climate. Anecdotes such as these reinforce what we know from economic theory: taxes matter to businesses, and those places with the most competitive tax systems will reap the benefits of business-friendly tax climates.
The study counts personal income taxes (where Wisconsin ranks worst) most, in keeping with the large number of sole proprietors, partnerships, subchapter-S corporations and similar corporate entities in which profits and losses flow through to the shareholders. Sales taxes rank second, since sales taxes certainly affect how much product or service someone can buy. Corporate income taxes, which are paid by a business’ customers, rank third.
Wisconsin has five income tax brackets, from 4.6 percent to 7.75 percent. Under the maxim that if you want less of something, tax it more, Wisconsin’s official policy appears to be that we don’t want “rich” people, since we tax income of more than $152,740 at 6.75 percent and income of more than $224,210 at 7.75 percent.
Wisconsin bombs on personal income taxes not just because the rates (including the new rate the 2009–10 Legislature foisted on us) are too high:
Meanwhile, states where the tax base is found to cause an unnecessary drag on economic activity are New Jersey, New York, Wisconsin, California, Georgia, Maryland, Minnesota, and Virginia.
Marriage Penalty. A marriage penalty exists when a state’s standard deduction and tax brackets for married taxpayers filing jointly are not double those for single filers. As a result, two singles (if combined) can have a lower tax bill than a married couple filing jointly with the same income. This is discriminatory and has serious business ramifications. The top-earning 20 percent of taxpayers is dominated (85 percent) by married couples. This same 20 percent also has the highest concentration of business owners of all income groups . …
Double Taxation of Capital Income. … The ultimate source of most capital income—interest, dividends and capital gains—is corporate profits. The corporate income tax reduces the level of profits that can eventually be used to generate interest or dividend payments or capital gains. This capital income must then be declared by the receiving individual and taxed. The result is the double taxation of this capital income—first at the corporate level and again on the individual level.
All states with an individual wage income tax score poorly by this criterion. …
The Federal Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT). The Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT) was created in 1969 to ensure that all taxpayers paid some minimum level of taxes every year. Unfortunately, it does so by creating a parallel tax system to the standard individual income tax code. Evidence shows that the AMT is an inefficient way to prevent tax deductions and credits from totally eliminating tax liability. As such, states that have mimicked the federal AMT put themselves at a competitive disadvantage through needless tax complexity. Nine states score poorly for having an AMT on individuals: California, Colorado, Connecticut, Iowa, Maine, Minnesota, Nebraska, New
York, and Wisconsin.
Wisconsin’s personal income tax penalizes married couples and taxes investment income. (See previous maxim about getting less of something by taxing it more.)
The fact the state has a flat corporate income tax rate is good. The fact that the corporate income tax rate is 7.9 percent is bad. Three states — Nevada, South Dakota and Wyoming — have the correct corporate income tax rate: Zero. And when there are no corporate income taxes (or substitutes such as gross receipts taxes), there is no need for job, R&D, investment or any other tax credits. Nor are there issues about what’s deductible from corporate income taxes, or carrybacks or carryforwards. Nor is there any legislative lobbying over corporate income tax provisions.
The state’s sales tax rate of 5 percent is lower than our neighbors, until a future Legislature increases the sales tax for education, as if more school spending means better schools. (The only thing preventing the sales tax from being extended to groceries is the likelihood of legislators’ surviving the day they vote for that.) There also have been proposals to extend the sales tax to professional services that are not currently taxable; those proposals never include words like “and then reduce the sales tax rate,” of course. The state has high gas and diesel taxes, though no longer the highest since automatic indexing of fuel taxes ended, and at least we don’t also pay sales taxes on gas and diesel.
The one state tax that could be considered low is the alcohol tax — 6 cents per gallon of beer and $3.25 per gallon of liquor — until, that is, the anti-alcohol scolds succeed in getting a future Legislature to raise alcohol taxes because alcohol makes people do dumb things. (That’s the same rationale as banning guns because guns kill people.)
As I’ve written here before, taxes are one component — arguably the most important component, but not the only component — of a state’s business climate. Of course, overregulation inevitably shows up in taxes too, because regulations take government employees to enforce, and employees and what supports government employees (office space, computers, etc.) cost money. The only thing state government spends more money on than employees is shared revenues to the state’s 3,120 units of government.
So how should the Legislature improve the state’s business tax climate? The Tax Foundation has two guiding principles:
1. Taxes matter to business. Business taxes affect business decisions, job creation and retention, plant location, competitiveness, the transparency of the tax system, and the long-term health of a state’s economy. Most importantly, taxes diminish profits. If taxes take a larger portion of profits, that cost is passed along to either consumers (through higher prices), employees (through lower wages or fewer jobs), or shareholders (through lower dividends or share value). Thus a state with lower tax costs will be more attractive to business investment, and more likely to experience economic growth.
2. States do not enact tax changes (increases or cuts) in a vacuum. Every tax law will in some way change a state’s competitive position relative to its immediate neighbors, its geographic region, and even globally. Ultimately it will affect the state’s national standing as a place to live and to do business. Entrepreneurial states can take advantage of the tax increases of their neighbors to lure businesses out of high-tax states.
In reality, tax-induced economic distortions are a fact of life, so a more realistic goal is to maximize the occasions when businesses and individuals are guided by business principles and minimize those cases where economic decisions are influenced, micromanaged, or even dictated by a tax system. The more riddled a tax system is with politically motivated preferences, the less likely it is that business decisions will be made in response to market forces.
That first point — taxes diminish profits — gets to the core of a business, and in fact so-called “nonprofits” as well. Nothing happens unless there’s more money coming in than going out. No business or organization that has more money going out than coming in has much of a future.
If this makes you wonder about the Legislature’s priorities, it should. Walker seems likely to survive his recall attempt, but Republican state senators may not. If the Senate switches sides, that will end any chance of tax cuts, since we know that Democrats have already proposed business tax increases as part of their proposal to reduce government waste, fraud and abuse.
The Legislature needs to eliminate corporate income taxes (and not replace them with something worse, such as gross receipts taxes) and reduce personal income taxes, both in rate and in ending the marriage penalty and investment taxation. If that means, as inconceivable in the People’s Republic of Wisconsin as it may seem, cutting government spending (instead of crowing about how government spending increased by only 1 percent), then that is what’s required. Holding the line on property taxes was fine, except that property taxes are relatively low for manufacturers, thanks to the Manufacturing & Equipment exemption (signed into law by Gov. Patrick Lucey, Wisconsin’s last pro-business Democrat). Holding the line on other business taxes, particularly the sales tax, should go without saying.
Business tax climate is less about the businesses in Wisconsin now than it is about the businesses that may, or may not, decide to locate in Wisconsin. It could be argued that businesses now in Wisconsin have reconciled themselves to the state’s crappy tax climate. (Except, of course, for those that decide to leave Wisconsin.) But Wisconsin trails the nation in such measures of business vitality as start-ups and incorporations, venture capital and, for nearly three and a half decades, per capita personal income growth. Wisconsin also is a leader, if you want to call it that, in business corporate headquarters leaving the state, beginning with Kimberly–Clark’s headquarters departure for Texas in the 1980s.
That previous paragraph means that if you want to see the bad business trends reversed and as a result see more private-sector jobs in Wisconsin (because private-sector jobs are the only jobs that count from a macroeconomic perspective), you need to improve the environment into one where business will not be penalized by government by onerous taxation. The word “Wisconsin” does not mean “onerous taxation” in either an American Indian language or in French, but it should.
Big Government thinks what President Obama claims to be a recovery isn’t:
The national unemployment rate is now 8.5% (December’s), its lowest level since January 2009, but while some saw this welcome news as something to celebrate, it hides a much darker economic picture: the jobs report vastly undercounts the unemployment rate. Moreover, as of this writing, we don’t know if December’s jobs report is a trend, or if, as some economists predict, economic growth will slow in the first quarter of 2012, forestalling some of the gains made. In November, the unemployment rate fell from 9% to 8.6%, but this was not due to an increase in jobs, but due to a decrease in the numbers of people “actively seeking” them. …
In December 2007, the U.S. economy employed 146 million; today, four years later, it employs 140 million. The population has grown; the number of jobs has declined.
No economy is sustainable under the conditions in those last two sentences.
But wait! There’s more!
Nobel Prize-winning economist Michael Spence and co-author Sandile Hlatshwayo estimate that from 1990 to 2008 all net job creation has been in the “non-tradable sector,” chief among them health care and government jobs. Alas these sectors aren’t known for their productivity and are hardly the jobs that can propel the growth necessary to accommodate a new workforce. The manufacturing jobs which once went to the growing middle class is getting more productive—but with fewer workers and more machines. In 2009—the height of the recession—productivity in U.S manufacturing increased by 7.7%, more than any other country followed by the Bureau of Labor. America’s share of world manufacturing stood at 20% in 2009, down only 2%.
More skepticism comes from Ace of Spades HQ, commenting on Newt Gingrich:
For me, it was the part where he stood up for work. Where he discussed the essential virtues of work. Nobody does that anymore. It was refreshing. It was important to me to hear someone say it. To hear that someone has a f*cking clue what’s going on down here in Realityland. We are out of work and we want it.
This administration seems to think that Americans should view work as a vampire perceives holy water, and nearly every policy out of DC reflects that.
Well, we don’t think that way. We’re Americans. We want to work. Dammit, we’re ready to get back to it. Give us the reins to our own lives, stick your food stamps back in your ass where they came from, and get out of the way. You’re killing us.
This message resonates. That’s why Gingrich won. Not just the slap at ‘the elites,’ but the content of the slap. The part where all work is good work and no one should consider themselves demeaned by what is *good.* Yeah, that may have been pre-formulated, and Juan Williams walked right into it. So? It needed to be said. Most of us thoroughly enjoyed hearing it clearly and unambiguously elucidated.
Currently, several of my friends and family are out of work, or underemployed. I’ve never seen things this bad in my life. Many of my clients who are technically self-employed simply have had nothing to do for the past three years. They are depleting their savings and selling family heirlooms at auction, while they make pocket cash at a department store to get by.
Meanwhile, the OWS crowd is complaining that no one has coronated them with cushy positions and free stuff the minute they got out of college, and resent the implication that they might have to work some menial jobs for a while until they get their stuff together, the way most everybody else in this country has had to for generations.
This is bad. This is real bad. There’s an ideological rot in this country, eating away at our vitality and encouraging parasitism and sloth. The only reason Obama has gotten away with implementing his job-killing agenda is because a lot of damn people need to get their heads right. Newt Gingrich put his finger on a raw nerve, and was rewarded for it.
The number one single in Great Britain today in 1961 included a Shakespearean reference:
The number one single today in 1965 included Jimmy Page, later of Led Zeppelin, on guitar:
Today in 1970, John Lennon wrote, recorded and mixed a song all in one day, which may have made it an instant song:
The number one British single today in 1973:
The number one British album today in 1985 was Foreigner’s “Agent Provocateur”:
Today in 1986, Allen Collins, who survived the 1977 Lynyrd Skynyrd plane crash that killed two band members, crashed his car, killing his girlfriend and paralyzing him from the waist down.
The number one British single today in 1991:
Today’s birthdays begin with Corky Laing, drummer of Mountain …
… born one year before Derek Holt of the Climax Blues Band, who …
Exit polls suggest that South Carolina Republicans considered Gingrich the most electable candidate. He argues that he would make the strongest Republican nominee because he would be able to beat Obama in debates — a claim that his strong performance in the Republicandebates so far reinforces.
Gingrich’s best moments in the debates have come when he has hammered the press for liberalism and triviality. Republicans have responded positively, in part because they think, as we do, that the mainstream media has had too much influence over the Republican nomination contest because of all of these media-sponsored debates. The general election will be very different. It is unlikely that the debates will be as numerous or will matter as much; they rarely do.
The public at large dislikes the media too, but not with the same intensity that conservatives do: Gingrich as nominee would have to train his fire on Obama, who will be able to fight back as John King could not. Nor will the public at large be as impressed by Gingrich’s willingness to attack Obama as a clueless radical as Republicans are. (If voters decide in 2012 to reward the most slashing or sardonic debater before them with the presidency, it will be a first.) When Republicans found themselves in tight spots during the Reagan presidency, they waited for their leader to give a speech to show them the way forward and rally the troops. When Gingrich was Speaker, Republicans never sought him to intervene in legislative debates to turn the tide.
There is much more to general elections than debates, and there is much more to the presidency than giving speeches. On an intellectual level Gingrich knows this, but he has little experience either in contesting elections with large numbers of voters of varying views or in running large organizations. [Mitt] Romney has executive experience, unlike Gingrich or [Rick] Santorum, and in past elections voters have seemed to value that experience. But at least Santorum, like Romney, has been elected to statewide office before, and like Romney has shown himself able to reach beyond the Republican base in doing so. Santorum’s record in this regard beats Romney’s, since Santorum won statewide in Pennsylvania twice. Only Gingrich has never been elected to office from anything larger than a congressional district; only Gingrich has never had to reach beyond the Republican base vote to win an election.
Gingrich has been a nationally known figure for a long time: when the economy was booming and when it has been in a slump; when Republicans were on top and when the public disliked them; when the national mood was sunny and when it was sour. Amid all the tumult of the last 18 years there has been this constant: Gingrich has never been popular. Polls have never shown more than 43 percent of the public viewing him favorably at any point in his career. Gingrich backers say that he is inspiring. What he mostly seems to inspire is opposition.
It should go without saying that Gingrich also offers more material than the other candidates for Democrats to drive his numbers in the wrong direction. Any Republican nominee will draw criticism for being too biased toward the rich. Not every Republican nominee will be attacked for cruelty in his personal life.
Speaking of “cruelty in his personal life,” there is the obvious comparison of Gingrich and Bill Clinton, a comparison that Gingrich can’t win in National Review editor Rich Lowry‘s mind:
Newt is the Republican Clinton — shameless, needy, hopelessly egotistical. The two former adversaries and tentative partners have largely the same set of faults and talents. They are self-indulgent, prone to disregard rules inconvenient to them, and consumed by ambition. They are glib, knowledgeable, and imaginative. They are baby boomers who hadn’t fully grown up even when they occupied two of the most powerful offices in the land.
Steven Gillon, author of The Pact, a book about the Gingrich–Clinton interplay in the 1990s, was struck by their “unique personal chemistry, which traced back to their childhoods.” Both were raised by distant or abusive stepfathers and surrounded by strong women. Both were drawn to politics and wanted to serve, in Newt’s case on a vast, civilizational scale. Both were allegedly sleeping around on the campaign trail before they had won anything.
Yet their personalities are different. Growing up in an alcoholic household, Gillon notes, Clinton was a natural conciliator. Gingrich was given to defiance. Clinton was gregarious, a people-pleaser. Gingrich was bookish, a lecturer at heart. Clinton made his way in politics in the unfriendly territory of Arkansas; he had to dodge and weave and seduce. Gingrich climbed through the ranks of the House Republican conference; he stood out as a partisan provocateur.
And so he remains today. He utterly lacks the Clinton soft touch. No one will ever consider him a lovable rogue. Quin Hillyer of the American Spectator says he’s the “Bill Clinton of the Right with half the charm and twice the abrasiveness.” Republican voters lit up by his debate performances believe he’s the most electable candidate, even though the three recent national polls show him with a favorable rating in the 20s. Presidents dip that low after they lose a war or before they get impeached. Newt Gingrich starts out there.
Could he turn it around with smashing debate performances against President Barack Obama in the fall? Doubtful. In a presidential debate, a candidate’s bearing matters. Al Gore may have beaten George W. Bush on points in their first debate in 2000, but he audibly sighed. That small indicator of an arrogant impatience sank him. If Gingrich shows the slightest bombast or ill temper, if he hectors or gives off a sense of intellectual superiority — in short, if he conducts himself in a typical Gingrichian manner — he will lose the debates in a rout even if he bests President Obama on the merits.
Debates are overrated anyway; if debates determined the best president, then high school forensics competitors should run for president. The scorched-earth campaigning that Gingrich supporters appear to want from their man is not likely to convince the few undecided voters that Gingrich is a better choice. And, as with Clinton two decades ago, I still wait to hear how serial adultery isn’t a sign of someone’s character.
Instead of asking politicians about Wisconsin’s job numbers (for instance, the party in charge when 94,000 Wisconsin jobs disappeared in 2009), WFRV-TV in Green Bay asked an actual expert:
According to Lawrence University Professor of Economics Marty Finkler … a lack of venture capital is slowing growth in Wisconsin.
“That is the funding needed to expand from a start up to an substantial enterprise” explains Finkler.
He says the potential recall of Governor Scott Walker is also contributing to uncertain conditions.
“Why commit long term to a set of policies that you don’t know are going to stay in existence” says Finkler.
Professor Finkler also believes Wisconsin has a lack of skilled workers in growing trades. “To get the desirable kinds of employment we have to educate our people and keep them here”.
I was on Wisconsin Public Radio when I commented about the uncertainty issue, which my opponent (a non-business person) immediately pooh-poohed. It’s nice to be proven right by someone who knows what he’s talking about. That also suggests that the Recall ______ forces are indeed hurting Wisconsin’s economy, and will continue to do so as long as they are in existence.
Finkler’s comment about skilled workers is echoed by Todd Teske, chairman of Briggs and Stratton, who told the Wisconsin Reporter: “Manufacturing has been, and continues to be, the core of family-supporting middle class jobs in Wisconsin. But those jobs are threatened by a number of factors, including a shortage of skilled industrial workers to fill existing and expected job vacancies.”
Added Kurt Bauer, CEO of Wisconsin Manufacturers & Commerce: “Many tech colleges report that students show little interest in their industrial skills training programs. In other words, there is low demand for the classes that teach the skills manufacturers need. … Educating young people, as wells as the people they listen to, i.e. their parents, teachers, counselors, about the opportunities and reward in industry is the first step.”