It was Saturday morning and MSNBC’s Tiffany Cross had a bee in her bonnet. With Senator Lindsey Graham predicting riots in the streets, with Donald Trump reacting to the FBI raid on his home like the Archduke Ferdinand had just been offed, Cross told her audience, “These days, it feels like we are not just at the brink of a civil war, but that one has already begun.”
Six months ago, here’s how I would have responded to Cross: of course this is what a hyper-partisan MSNBC host would say. Civil war fears are really just LARPing by Twitter elites who thrive on hatred of the other side and so assume everyone else must too. “WE’RE GOING IN!” screams Elie Mystal as he screeches up in a Power Wheels Jeep while waving around a purple and orange Nerf Kalashnikov. The chaos is mostly imagined and we should treat it as such.
Six months ago, that’s what I would have said. These days, I’m not so sure.
There has been chatter about a second American civil war since approximately the first civil war, and mostly among conservatives. They’ve watched the left grow entrenched and imperialistic, imposing its inclusion ideology in schools, telling Trump supporters to leave blue states — and wondered whether there’s any hope for mediation. Trump, meanwhile, has as usual been stirring the pot until his rotator cuff goes flying off. And there has been real violence: the scrum in Charlottesville, the riots after George Floyd was killed, clashes in the streets between Proud Boys and Antifa, January 6.
The late political thinker Angelo Codevilla called this “a cold civil war,” and it seemed only a matter of time until it burned hot. Yet there was always an objection to be had here, namely that a cold civil war translated into American is just “politics.” This is not Scandinavia. Political debate here has always been a full-contact sport. Even the sainted 1990s, remembered today as a more innocent time, saw the infamous Waco raid, the Oklahoma City bombing, and a president accused of everything from perjury (yep) to rape (probably) to murder (that’s a negative, chief).
Why should today be any different? If anything, talk of a civil war seems like a kind of presentism, a sense of hysteria about the here and now unmoored from any historical context. Besides, aren’t we, as my friend Michael Davis has observed, too fat to fight a civil war? Don’t we have too many Insta accounts to maintain to possibly find the time to start butchering each other en masse? Bread and circuses are supposed to be a bad thing, but if they stop us from killing, then kick off NFL season early, say I.
The problem is that lately more omens have been appearing. For one, a new YouGov poll finds that 43 percent of Americans think it’s likely there will be a civil war in the next ten years. Clearly this isn’t just a bugaboo of overcaffeinated elites. For another, a Washington Post poll finds that only 62 percent say political violence is never justified, a record low, down from 90 percent in the 1990s. So while American politics has often been fraught, today it is unusually fraught, perhaps even the most fraught it’s been since the 1850s (as some historians maintain).
For another, thanks to the latest political drama, you can now see how such a conflict might begin. The Justice Department decides to indict Donald Trump over his Florida documents caper. The left, being the left, insists that he’s a perp walked in front of the cameras. The images rile up his most dedicated supporters who warn of a poisoned justice system, a rogue FBI, an entire federal government under enemy occupation. A few at the fringe decide it’s time to refresh the tree of liberty. The government responds with force of its own. And off we go.
Yet the most worrying sign of all was Joe Biden’s speech last week. Broadcast from the deck of a Star Destroyer or wherever the hell he was, much has been made about its ludicrous backdrop — the silhouetted Marines, the red glow. And surely there are no accidents in American politics, not in this age where every politician employs a battalion of image consultants. The imagery was intentional, a message to Republicans: you’re worried about a tyrannical government? Keep going and you’ll get one. That plus the language he used (MAGA is “a threat to this country”) made this not just a tough speech but a martial one.
The import of this can’t be understated: here was an escalation by the most powerful man on earth. Biden just contributed his own chapter to the civil war narrative.
So are we doomed to civil conflict? Over Labor Day weekend, I had the chance to visit family in a small town in Pennsylvania. Their neighborhood is on the up and up, with new houses being built and new families moving in, including a striking number of immigrants from Nepal. The kids play in the streets, chasing each other and riding bikes, while the adults chat, amiably discussing the culture divide: why do the Nepalese cook in their garages anyway? Amid all the friendliness, you can’t help but notice something: these people are not bludgeoning each other to death over the classification stamps on folders at Mar-a-Lago. They aren’t even impaling each other over the systemic racism of Hulu user settings.
Experiences like this can make you squint: is this picture of Americana the real world? Or is the very-online darkness slowly bleeding even into the most tranquil of scenes? There is, after all, all the difference in the world between telling a pollster there could be a civil war and actually fighting one. All we can do is put our hope in what remains so good about this country, even if the unthinkable seems more plausible than it should.
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Wisconsin Right Now commits what Charlie Sykes used to call a flagrant act of journalism:
“We will not release violent criminals,” Tony Evers promised voters in 2018.
That was an insidious lie.
Gov. Tony Evers’ Parole Commission has released at least 884 convicted criminals, freeing them early on parole mostly into Wisconsin communities, including more than 270 murderers and attempted murderers, and more than 44 child rapists.
The list, from 2019 through 2021, includes some of the most brutal killers in Wisconsin history and some of the most high-profile. The cases span the state, from Kenosha to Rib Mountain, Wisconsin Right Now has documented through a public records request.
How brutal are these killers? Carl Beletsky, then 39, of Oconomowoc, shot and decapitated his bank manager wife, Kathleen, with a large kitchen knife and then tried to burn her head in a wood-burning stove in 1982. Newspaper articles from the time say that Beletsky, who was worried she was going to leave him, placed Kathleen’s headless body in the trunk of a car, dumped the body in a cornfield, and then went to drink liquor.
Beletsky, now 79, was paroled in August 2019 by the Evers administration and now lives in Hatley, Wisconsin.
There are many cases that rival Beletsky’s in their outright brutality. And don’t think they’re all old. The average age of the released killers and attempted killers is 54, and they range in age from 39 to 79.
Even though they’ve only been out for three years at the most, 16 of them have already re-offended or violated terms of their parole, Corrections records show, including one man accused of strangulation.
Slightly more than half are black. About a third are white. Only four were paroled as “compassionate releases.” In 27 cases, Corrections records list no address for the parolees. Some are double murderers; there is even a triple murderer among them.
Joseph Roeling shot and killed his mother, stepfather, and 8-year-old half-sister while they slept in 1982 inside the family’s mobile home in Fond du Lac County. Roeling told a sister he was planning to get rid of everyone in the family to have free run of the home, according to a newspaper article from the time.
Roeling, 56, was paroled by the Evers administration in June 2021 and lives in Oshkosh today.
In another particularly heinous case, Terrance Shaw randomly murdered a young mother, Susan Erickson, who worked at a La Crosse hospital, raping, stabbing, and strangling her after spotting her through her home’s picture window while driving past. They were strangers. He called it “one really bad day.”
Today Shaw, 73, lives in Onalaska.
Roy Barnes, 62, lives in Milwaukee. In 1999, he murdered the brother of one of Jeffrey Dahmer’s victims and received 45 years in prison for it. Barnes tortured the victim and used his ear as an ashtray, according to a 2000 Green Bay Press-Gazette article. In 1998, the article says, he committed “a hammer attack on another man.”
Evers’ administration paroled Barnes in September 2020.
Over the next two months, in a new series, Wisconsin Right Now will be naming names and profiling some of the most brutal killers and child rapists paroled by the Tony Evers-Mandela Barnes administration (with the total silence of Attorney General Josh Kaul).
We will be running one story each day.
About one-third of the killers and attempted killers live in Milwaukee. Racine, Madison, and Kenosha are next in that order. All of the 274 cases are listed under homicide statutes by the Parole Commission; a review of court records, news stories, and other documents confirms that most of those homicides resulted in deaths. A far smaller number were attempted homicides. …
Democrat Tony Evers took office on Jan. 7, 2019. Evers first named John Tate to chair the Parole Commission, starting on June 3, 2019 and reappointed him in 2021.
Tate, who stepped down in June after outcry from another victim’s family, had sole authority over the releases, but Evers could have fired him at any time.
Last spring, Evers acted shocked, as if the rescinded release of wife killer Douglas Balsewicz, which ignited news stories all over the state, was an aberration.
It was not, and he had to know this. The Parole Commission’s own records firmly prove: The Balsewicz case was the pattern.
The other cases are as horrific as that of Balsewicz, who stabbed his estranged wife Johanna more than 40 times, and that’s saying a lot. Unlike Balsewicz, there’s no evidence Evers did anything to stop the paroles. Worse, he reappointed Tate after many of them.
The released criminals include multiple cop killers; men who stabbed, strangled, and asphyxiated their wives and girlfriends; a man who shot a teenage gas station clerk in the head for $5 on the clerk’s first day alone on the job after shooting two other clerks in the head; and people who murdered and bludgeoned and raped elderly women, including a killer who used a wheelbarrow to dump the body of a murdered 86-year-old woman in the woods.
They include a killer who blew his parents’ heads off with a rifle and then went out to party, telling people his mom and dad were “laying around the house.”
A sniper who hid in the woods and randomly shot an elderly woman who was walking a dog along the Menomonee River Parkway because he wanted to kill someone.
A woman who stabbed an elderly Richland County grocer 63 times for $54; a man who strangled a baby, either with a cord from behind or by suspending the infant.
A man who went to a technical college intending to commit suicide and murdered a technical services coordinator.
A foster dad who beat a 2-year-old to death because he soiled his pants.
A biker who slashed a woman’s throat so severely he almost decapitated her after participating in a violent gang rape and then threw her in a manure pit. …
Some of the killers were released even though they already had blemished records on parole or behind bars. …
In most cases, Tate had the final say. However, Evers knew full well about Tate’s philosophy, which focuses far more on rehabilitation/redemption than punishment or protecting the public.
The paroles are reflective of an admitted belief system by both. The governor even promised to slash the state’s prison population by 50%. This is apparently who he meant.
In 2018, Evers “signaled” in an interview “that he would favor increasing paroles.”
The governor appointed Tate, a proponent of repealing truth-in-sentencing laws and police “reform,” twice to chair the Parole Commission. Evers re-upped Tate’s appointment in 2021 AFTER many of the killers, including Beletsky, were paroled, expressing zero concern about the releases. Thus, Evers is going to have to own them all.
Tate has been open about his beliefs; a Racine city council member, he once hung a Black Lives Matter flag behind him during a virtual meeting on police reform.
The paroles were only possible because of truth-in-sentencing laws Tate and Evers oppose; these are people sentenced under old laws before the Legislature eliminated parole in the state.
When Evers first appointed Tate to the job, Evers’ focus was on “improving our parole system” to eliminate “racial disparities.” He pledged that Tate would be a “strong advocate for the change we need to ensure our criminal justice system treats everyone fairly and focuses on rehabilitation.”
An Associated Press article said Evers’ choice “has been eagerly anticipated by prison reform advocates.”
“I’m trying to find ways to get people back to their communities,” Tate promised. He did not reveal that would include some of the state’s worst killers and rapists.
On Feb. 24, 2021, Evers signaled that he was happy with how Tate, a social worker, had done his job. He wrote the state Senate, “I am pleased to nominate and with the advice and consent of the Senate, do appoint JOHN TATE II, of Racine, as the Chair of the Parole Commission, to serve for the term ending March 1, 2023.” Senate Republicans let the nomination languish, meaning Tate could continue serving.
Tate bragged in 2021 about releasing more prisoners than Gov. Scott Walker’s Parole Commission. He told other officials involved in parole releases: “I just wanted to note that your efforts to really evaluate individuals where they are, giving that real chance… as well as individuals’ own progress, resulted in a great deal of people being able to return to the community… So, I just wanted to give you kudo.” He mentioned the families of criminals but not victims.
Evers has been under fire for letting Kenosha burn during riots there, but the release of some of the state’s most violent and heinous murderers and child rapists – and the impact on public safety and on traumatized victims’ families – has gone almost unnoticed in the news media. A few of the paroles were covered at the time, but most were not.
Unlike sex offenders, the public doesn’t receive a notification when convicted killers move next to them.
Evers accused Walker of lying when Walker warned that Evers planned to release violent criminals to the streets. It turns out that Walker was right, but Walker understated the problem. Even he did not fathom that Evers’ administration would release so many violent murderers and child rapists.
Tate helped found a group called “Our Wisconsin Revolution” that is openly opposed to truth-in-sentencing laws and other legislation to keep criminals behind bars longer.
We tried to reach Tate at the time of the Balsewicz story, but he never returned calls.
With Evers, this is a long pattern. He recently said he wasn’t sure he had met with murder victims’ families other than those involved in the Waukesha parade attack; he’s pardoned more than 400 offenders (including a sibling of Balsewicz who was going to give her paroled brother a place to live – pardons are different than the paroles in this story); he increased the number of early release prisoners by 16% and decreased the prison population by 15%; he softened revocation rules; and, perhaps most egregiously, he wanted to get rid of truth-in-sentencing and expand early release in his last budget.
For his part, Barnes authored legislation in 2016 to get rid of cash bail entirely in the state. The MacIver Institute has the round-up
Tate’s resignation came just three days after Wisconsin Right Now asked the Wisconsin Parole Commission for information on two past paroles Tate granted for men – Kenneth Jordan and Lavelle Chambers – convicted in connection with the murders of Milwaukee police officers. …
This is a pattern; victims’ family members were not notified of the parole releases in multiple cases, including when there was still a chance to stop them.
A victim has a right to attend a parole interview per s. 304.06(1)(eg) Wis. Stats. However, to be notified, victims’ family members must enroll in a system to receive notice.
Here’s the reality; in many cases, after decades pass, the closest family members – parents, siblings – have died or moved away or aged, leaving few alive to speak for the victim anymore.
Traumatized families fray, and PTSD takes its toll. At this stage, it’s up to the governor’s appointee to stand for public safety or not.
We asked the Parole Commission about the cases of Block, Ketterhagen, Brook, and Whiting. Why were these men paroled? When did Brook die? Were the victims’ families notified? If not, why not? Why was Ketterhagen paroled after failing parole before?
The Commission promised to respond to our questions before our deadline, but never did.
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Allahpundit has left Hot Air. His farewell post is here.
Most of our readers are probably familiar with Allahpundit’s work. He’s a terrific writer and a prolific one. …
Allahpundit is an unabashed NeverTrumper. I’ve probably read more anti-Trump articles by him than by all other pundits combined.
He deserves great credit for hanging in there and taking so much abuse from the Trumpy internet mob. It amazes me that he lasted so long at a site that, as he puts it, serves a pro-Trump populist readership.
I’m happy to read that Allahpundit leaves Hot Air on excellent terms with his longtime colleague Ed Morrissey (a fact that Ed confirms). I’m also happy to learn that he will land on his feet at The Dispatch, an anti-Trump enterprise where he should thrive.
Allahpundit’s farewell piece is well worth reading. However, it contains what I think is an obviously false claim — that the Republican Party has no cause other than consolidating power (which is no cause at all) and “defending whatever Trump’s latest boorish or corrupt thought-fart happens to be.”
This, I believe, is a central fallacy of the NeverTrumpers. Their understandable disgust with the GOP for making Trump its leader, and continuing to back him, causes them to assume that the party isn’t about anything other than serving Trump.
It’s possible for a party to nominate and continue to support a narcissistic demagogue and still stand for a coherent policy agenda. And this is more than a theoretical possibility if (1) the demagogue became the party’s leader because the rank-and-file believed other leaders weren’t fighting hard and effectively enough on behalf that agenda and (2) the demagogue, despite his other failings, has not abandoned the agenda. (Trump hasn’t, as discussed below.)
One can blame GOP leaders for lacking the courage to denounce Trump’s outrageous behavior — an easy enough take for pundits who don’t have to worry about running for office. But lack of courage isn’t the same thing as lack of an agenda. And failing to stand up to a bully isn’t the same thing as failing to stand for anything substantive, especially if the bully stands (or pretends to) for many of things you stand for.
What does the GOP stand for? With a few exceptions, pretty much the same things it stood for pre-Trump. (Some conservatives are frustrated that the GOP isn’t more innovative, but standing for old stuff isn’t the same thing as standing for nothing.)
The GOP stands for a considerably more limited government than the Democrats do. It stands, for example, for less federal regulation than exists today and for less taxation.
The GOP stands for enforcing U.S. immigration laws.
The GOP stands for a stronger military (and a less woke one) than we have today. It wants the defense budget to be increased significantly.
The GOP stands behind local police forces. It’s willing to entertain police reform proposals, but opposes defunding the police, reducing funding for the police, using “violence interrupters” to replace police officers, and so forth. It views the police not as a problem, but as a key part of the solution to rampant crime in America.
Speaking of crime, the GOP stands for stiffer sentencing of criminals than the Democrats do. Led by Trump, the GOP walked partially away from this stance when it backed bipartisan jail-break legislation in the form of the First Step Act.
But unlike the Democrats, few Republicans have an appetite for more such “steps.” And Republicans stand against the kind of ludicrous bail reform Democrats have implemented in various cities and against Soros-backed Dem prosecutors whose sympathy for criminals overrides their willingness, if any, to prosecute many of them.
The GOP stands for nominating a certain kind of federal judge — judges who, for example, support the Constitution as written under an originalist analysis, not judges who think the Constitution needs to evolve with the times. Judges like Neil Gorsuch and Amy Coney Barrett, not judges like Sonia Sotomayor and Ketanji Brown Jackson.
The GOP stands against wokeness. Liberals, and probably some NeverTrumpers as well, deride this as a substitute for a genuine policy agenda.
Nothing could be further from the truth. By opposing wokeness, the GOP supports freedom of speech, and freedom of religion — two of our most fundamental values.
It also supports another core principle — the right to be free from racial and other such forms of discrimination. Unlike Democrats, the GOP wants all Americans to be judged as individuals, based on their merit, not as members of a racial or ethnic group, based on whether they are (or can claim to be) “people of color.”
The fight against wokeness also extends, of course, to education. The GOP stands against bureaucrats who inject leftist ideology into the teaching of America’s children. It stands in favor of more parental control over education.
There are two important areas where a split exists within the GOP. One is the question of how the U.S. should engage with the rest of the world. The party contains traditional internationalists, semi-isolationists, and many who fall somewhere in between. This has long been true, but it’s truer now than it was before the rise of Trump.
However, a similar division exists among Democrats. No one I know concludes from this division that the Democrats stand for nothing of substance.
The second area of division is trade. Many Republicans still believe strongly in free trade. But these days, there are also many protectionists, as well as many (perhaps a majority) who fall in between.
This division, too, exists among Democrats.
Foreign policy and trade are the two main substantive areas where Trump steered the GOP away from its traditional positions to some extent. In the other areas mentioned above, he largely adhered to the positions most Republicans have long held.
It’s normal, though, for a party to adjust some of its positions over time and as its leaders change. The Democrats certainly have. There’s nothing suspect or unprincipled about this.
Allahpundit complains, as other conservatives have, that in the 2022 midterms the GOP isn’t giving voters a strong sense of what they will do if they gain control of Congress. Is this true?
It’s certainly the case that party leaders haven’t come up with anything like the 1994 Contract With America. I imagine, though, that individual candidates are campaigning hard on at least some of the substantive issues mentioned above.
In any case, if the GOP is short on specificity about policy in this campaign, that’s evidence of a tactical choice, not evidence that the party stands for nothing.
And it’s a familiar tactic for the out-of-power party, one that certainly predates the rise of Trump. 1994 was an exception. Normally in mid-term elections, the outsider party rails against the insider party, hoping that its perceived failings will be enough to achieve major gains. Normally it is.
Keep in mind, too, that even if the GOP takes control of both chambers of Congress and does with healthy margins, it won’t be able to implement any policies. It’s not just that Joe Biden will veto pretty much any legislation that emerges from a Republican Congress. It’s also that Chuck Schumer and his fellow Democrats can defeat nearly all legislation through the filibuster.
Given the reality that Republican congressional majorities can block bad legislation but can’t convert good legislation into law, why not talk mostly about what’s wrong with the Democrats’ agenda?
NeverTrumpers wouldn’t be human if their hatred of the man who has dominated the GOP for seven years didn’t spill over into a sweeping critique of that party. But when the critique extends to accusing Republicans of not standing for anything substantive, cooler heads must dissent.
The titular leader of the Party is Donald Trump. The country was in better shape under Trump than it is now, largely because Trump, while himself a sometime conservative at best, governed mostly following traditional Republican principles. The problem is Trump’s persona, and specifically his numerous and serious character defects. He’s self-involved and juvenile to an astonishing degree, and not particularly honest either. He refused to accept that he lost the last election even though virtually all the polling (including from friendly polls) predicted he would, and his own quite conservative Attorney General, Bill Barr, and numerous other allies, told him he had. He then egged on a bunch of nonsensical rioters in body paint and buffalo horns who sought to disrupt (or prevent altogether — you can’t get a straight story) the counting of the electoral votes on January 6, and thus the peaceful and lawful transfer of power that is perhaps the single most cherished hallmark of the many noble gifts America has given the world.
I was never in doubt that the rioters would fail. American democracy was never at risk to the faux panic-stricken extent the Left wants us to believe. But none of that mitigates the stain Trump’s reckless vanity smeared on our history. Whether he’s a criminal or not — something that remains to be determined — he has forfeited public trust and proven himself unfit for office. We are fortunate that traditional Republican principles can be carried forward for the future of American governance by a number of excellent potential candidates, foremost among them (in my view) Tom Cotton.
But just as there’s a problem with Trump, there’s a counterpart problem, to wit, being blindly obsessed with Trump. Like any other obsession, it distorts judgment, and in a dangerous world, distorted judgment is not something America can afford.
In just two years, we’ll have another Presidential election. Someone is going to win it, and the country is then going to be run by either an administration with Republican principles or Democratic ones. This fact cannot be made to go away either because of our amply justified disgust with Donald Trump’s moral failures and contempt for law, or because of our at least equally justified dismay with Joe Biden’s decrepit embrace of the dangerous, sinister and corrosive forces now driving the Democratic Party.
As I said in the title of this post, life is choosing whether you like it or not.
It’s the choice between the most basic Republican outlook on America and the most basic Democratic one that I want to explore. I won’t keep you in suspense: It has become pellucidly obvious that, while Republicans overall think well of America and want to see her flourish, Democrats overall think America is a seriously flawed country, if not an evil one, and deserves the “reckoning” they not-so-secretly relish. (Hence the title of our blog, “Ringside at the Reckoning”). The partisan divide about race is closely related here. Republicans want equal opportunities while Democrats want equal outcomes. In order to get equal outcomes, they are willing if not eager to adopt policies rooted in contempt, if not in some instances hate, for the white majority. This is what they call “equity.”
And that is where I get off the train. I am painfully aware of the dangers Donald Trump and his kind of thinking present to the honest and lawful governance I spent my career, 25 years in the Justice Department, trying to advance. This is not what America is about, it’s poison, and Republicans need to wake up. But I will never — never — support a political party that hates me and wants to handicap my life and my family’s life because I’m white. Even more important, I will never support a political party that thinks America, or “Amerika” as they call it in their few honest moments, stinks. America has its flaws as every country everywhere at any time has its flaws, but it does not stink. It is, to the contrary, as Lincoln understood, the last, best hope of earth.
If the Democrats don’t know this, or pretend not to, or dismiss it as dull-witted Rotary Club patriotism, fine. It’s their Party. But for as long as this is their attitude, they cannot be trusted with governing the country.
The specifics of their toxic attitude toward America are everywhere, and, at least as reflected in criminal law, it’s getting people killed. They want no border enforcement because — let’s just say it — they don’t think America deserves even the rudiments of sovereignty a secure border represents. They don’t want criminals held accountable or imprisoned because they see criminals as victims and the rest of us as their oppressors. They don’t want to do anything serious to prevent Iran from getting The Big One (and indeed want to pay for Iran’s building it) because of America’s rancid “imperialism” in the Middle East (and everywhere else). They don’t want energy independence because America is the world’s polluter (even as the actual polluter, China, gets a pass). They don’t want white kids in their teens and twenties to have a fair, race-neutral shot at college admission because of a long-dead social system of slavery and Jim Crow those kids had nothing to do with.
In the real world, this is where we are. Just pretending that our ex-President is the country’s central problem is every bit as foolish and juvenile as he was, and, given the alternative we see now and the perils we face in the future, more dangerous. It’s not just Trump’s obsessive defenders, but his obsessive critics as well, who need to wake up.
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Today in 1956, Harry Belafonte’s “Calypso” went to number one for the next 31 weeks:
Today in 1965, Daily Variety included this ad:
Madness! Running parts for four Insane Boys age 17-21.
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There’s an emerging train of thought that one reason Republicans might be headed for only a modest victory in November rather than the “Red Wave” is that they have failed to put forward their own positive message. What exactly would they do if they had majorities in Congress?
The criticism sounds plausible enough, but is easy to overstate. First, the out party runs against the in party, and in order to do that, the main message has to be about the failings of the in party. Not only is this not rocket science, it’s particularly sound advice where (1) the failings of the in party are so obvious and so painful that even the press can’t hide them, and (not coincidentally) (2) the in party’s principal strategy is to pretend it’s not really the in party — that instead, Donald Trump is The Ghost President, it’s still January 6 (indeed, it’s never anything but January 6), and the “insurrectionist” overthrow of democracy is just around the corner.
All that is baloney, and Republicans shouldn’t be fooled into buying it — that is, they shouldn’t act as if they have a record to defend in this election. Biden, Schumer and Pelosi, all of whom are way underwater, have the record to defend. Remember this and make them do it.
The second reason the “positive message” theory is easy to overstate is that Republicans have no single, commanding voice to carry the banner. Ordinarily, the main voice of the out party tends to be its most recent Presidential candidate. That won’t work this time because, for one thing, its most recent Presidential candidate is the problem not the solution. For whatever one may think of Donald Trump’s term in the Oval Office (and for the most part I think highly of it), his irresponsible, self-involved, and possibly illegal behavior after the 2020 election — behavior that’s getting worse not better — abets the Democrats rather than challenges them. And of course Trump is to say the least a divisive figure inside the Party, largely because that’s the way he wants it.
Still, to the extent there is something to be gained by putting forth a positive message — say, an updated version of the Contract with America that won a stunning victory in 1994 — the questions are, who should be its spokesman, and what should it say?
The truth is that Republicans don’t have a single spokesman. Their leading figures other than Trump — Cotton, DeSantis, Pompeo, and Pence (and to an extent McConnell and McCarthy) — can carry the message, but because none is yet a commanding figure, its effectiveness and resonance will depend on making sure it’s the same message.
That would ordinarily be a Herculean feat, but this time we have help, namely, the neon-light luminescence of the Democrats’ blunders. When the other side is giving you a guided tour of what to do, hey, count your blessings and take them up on it!
So here’s the message in a nutshell:
What we’re doing now is failing. You are worse off now than when the Democrats took over and it’s easy to see why: Reckless, carefree deficit spending that spikes the higher prices you pay every day; giveaways to favored constituencies at the expense of the working man; hecktoring shame driven by a poisoned view of American history that paints one race as callous bigots and the others as helpless victims; and an educational establishment that believes your kid is state property and you as parents should bug out. With thinking like that, it’s no happenstance that criminals and drug pushers run wild while the police are scourged as racist thugs.
This is wrong and we will change it. We know how to do better because we’ve done better before, when crime was falling and real incomes were rising.
First, control of education will be restored to parents. The Woke education establishment and its allied teachers unions will take a step back. In assessing nominees for high office, America will be viewed as a good and great country rather than as something to be ashamed of. Sexual and other minorities will be respected and protected but will not control the national agenda through cultural bullying or otherwise. Working and saving will be rewarded rather than punished. Government spending will be at last resort rather than a slap-happy first option. Criminals will be put in jail and police on the street rather than vise versa.
The past is done and we can’t change it. But we can change the future if we chart the right course. The course we’re on now is not merely wrong but disastrous. Your standard of living is at risk and America’s place in the world is shrinking. We can do better, and with Republican control of Congress, we will.
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Today in 1963, ABC-TV’s “American Bandstand” moved from every weekday afternoon in Philadelphia …
… to Saturdays in California:
The number one album today in 1968 was the Doors’ “Waiting for the Sun,” their only number one album:
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Michael Smith:
Pretty much every invention has been brought to life because it made the human condition better in some way. It is simply impossible to think of all the innovations just since we landed on the moon and not think, “Dang. What would we do without stuff like that?”
Each one of those innovations has been a response from the free market to some demand, some need. No collective mind sitting in a concrete walled office said, “You know what would make life easier for people? Little pieces of colored paper with a light, reusable adhesive strip on them. We’ll just order the Federal Department of Sticky Paper to invent something.”
Nope.
Post-It notes came about in 1968 when Dr. Spencer Silver, a scientist at 3M in the United States, attempted to develop a super-strong adhesive and failed. Miserably. What he did develop was a low strength, reusable adhesive he then tried to get 3M product managers interested in, but couldn’t. Long story short, a colleague named Art Fry picked up on the idea to create a reusable bookmark using Silver’s glue. Still didn’t catch on. It wasn’t until 3M gave free samples to consumers in Boise, Idaho, and 94 percent of those who tried them indicating they would buy the product, the picture changed. Post-It notes then went national after people stuck them to everything and soon, everybody in the US had them in their desks at work and at home.
Silver and 3M didn’t force people to use the products, eventually people figured out they would work better than any current solution – and the products took off.
Their time had come. There was a market for them.
If there had already been something better suited for use, nobody alive today would know what a Post-It note is.
So why hasn’t that same philosophy worked with “green” energy?
The answer to that question is that there already is something better suited to the problem at hand.
They are called fossil fuels. There is nothing that has the high energy density, the lifetime of safety, the abundant and constant supply, the portability, the ease of use, and the relatively low cost of fossil fuels.
The main issue is portability, which gives rise to the question, just what energy need are we trying to solve?
Transportation use of fossil fuels only accounts for 33% of all usage of fossil fuels (data from Statista dot com), the rest goes to residential, commercial, industrial and the rest for generating electricity (over 60% of all electricity is generated using coal or natural gas). The issue for the electricity zealots is the fossil fuels are not only fuels, but they are also the feed stocks, the raw material, for thousands and thousands of products necessary for modern life. From fertilizer to plastics to medicine, things are made from fossil fuels.
Electricity cannot match that usefulness.
Electricity is not a prime resource, unlike fossil fuels, it must be manufactured.
But beyond the inability to compete, no matter how many of the technical issues that exist today are improved, the transportation economy based on electricity will always carry significant limitations a fossil fueled economy never will.
So-called “renewable” energy sources simply cannot compete with all the advantages of fossil fuels, so rather than the people discovering a need for them (thereby creating a demand), government is forcing the market to accept them through a variety of carrot and stick approaches. Forcing Obamacare into the insurance market did not meet any of its stated goals, just the opposite – while it did subsidize people in the lower brackets, it disrupted the insurance industry, raised premiums and deductibles, and generally made insurance more expensive for everyone.
The real story of Obamacare is that there are just as many uninsured today (adjusted for population increases) as there were when Obamacare was fully implemented, only now it is more expensive.
That is what happens when something the market doesn’t want or need is forced on it by government.
If the so-called “Greens” truly wanted a win, nuclear power could eliminate every coal and natural gas fired power plant – but they don’t want a win, they just want to fight.
The “climate wars” are now a moral crusade. The environment has taken a back seat.
The reason Post-It notes succeeded is that there was a market for them. The reason so much of the “green economy” isn’t successful is the opposite – there is no market for a product that only works part of the time, can be shut off at will and cannot be used as a raw material.The Green economy is just the next Obamacare. -
The number one single in the U.K. todayyyyyyy in 19677777777 …
One yearrrrrr laterrrrrr, the Beatles recorded Eric Clapton’s guitar part for “While My Guitar Gently Weeps,” making him the first non-Beatle on a Beatle record:
The College of Rock and Roll Knowledge reports:
… The Beatles’ George Harrison was heading in to London for a recording session for “While My Guitar Gently Weeps”. His neighbor, Eric Clapton needed a lift into London, so George offered to take him. George had a different idea though.
Harrison wasn’t happy with his own guitar tracks on the song so while driving, he asked Eric to come to the session and do a track on.
Clapton at first refused, saying that “nobody (famous) ever plays on the Beatles records!” but George insisted. Clapton came in and the invitation has its intended effect: the band members were completely professional and Eric’s solo sounded great.
As Clapton was listening to a playback, the thought his solo wasn’t “Beatle-y enough,” so the solo is run through an ADT circuit with “varispeed”, with the session engineer manually ‘waggling’ the oscillator: Engineer Chris Thomas has recalled: “Eric said that he didn’t want it to sound like him. So I was just sitting there wobbling the thing, they wanted it really extreme, so that’s what I did.” The effect sounded like the guitar was run through the Leslie rotating speaker of the Hammond B-3 organ cabinet.The number one song in the U.S. today in 1975:
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The number one song in Britain today in 1954 was the singer’s only number one hit, making her Britain’s first American one-hit wonder:
The number one song in the U.S. today in 1964:
Today in 1967, the Beatles probably felt like they were the walrus (goo goo ga joob) after needing 16 takes to get this right:
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The number one song in the U.S. today in 1961:
Today in 1962, the Beatles recorded “Love Me Do,” taking 17 takes to do it right:
Three years later, the Beatles had the number one single …
… which referred to something The Who could have used, because on the same day the Who’s van was vandalized and $10,000 in musical equipment was stolen from them while they were buying … a guard dog:
