Still in front

The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel:

Gov. Scott Walker leads all his Democratic challengers according to Wednesday’s Marquette University Law School Poll, while state Schools Superintendent Tony Evers was the leading choice among Democratic primary voters.

Walker had 48% to Evers’ 44% in a head-to-head match up, while Walker led former Assembly members Kelda Roys by 48% to 40%.

A field of 10 candidates is vying in the Aug. 14 Democratic primary.

In the Democratic horse race, Evers leads the field with 25%, attorney Matt Flynn, liberal activist Mike McCabe and Madison Mayor Paul Soglin had 7%.

State Sen. Kathleen Vinehout of Alma had 5%, Milwaukee businessman Andy Gronik and firefighter union leader Mahlon Mitchell had 4%, Roys and Assembly member Dana Wachs of Eau Claire had 2% and Josh Pade had 1%.

A lot of people in the state have not yet tuned into the governor’s race. The poll found 34% were undecided in the Democratic primary, compared to 44% in early March.

Evers was the best known Democrat, but still, 61% did not know enough about him to form an opinion.

By comparison, just 3% couldn’t form an opinion about Walker.

The survey of 800 registered voters was conducted June 13 through Sunday. A margin of error for the entire sample  was plus or minus 4%.

Of the 318 Democratic primary voters, the sample was plus or minus 6.4 percentage points, with the 264 Republican respondents having a margin of error of 6.9 percentage points.

The half sample of 400 voters had a margin of error of 5.6 percentage points.

In the current sample, including so-called leaners, 47% identified as Republican and 44% identified as Democratic.

RightWisconsin adds:

Governor Scott Walker’s re-election campaign received some good news from the results of the latest Marquette University Law School Poll released Wednesday.

Walker’s approval rating is now at 49 percent compared to a disapproval rating of 47 percent, the first time more have approved of Walker’s performance than disapproved since October 2014. When asked if the state is on the right track, 52 percent said Wisconsin is on the right track while 42 percent said the state is on the wrong track.

Walker leads all of his Democratic rivals in head-to-head polling, including Evers who receives 44 percent support to Walker’s 48 percent.

In the Republican primary for U.S. Senate, Kevin Nicholson leads state Sen. Leah Vukmir (R-Brookfield) 37 percent to 32 percent. However, with 30 percent undecided and a margin of error of 6.9 percentage points, the race remains wide open.

Interestingly, Nicholson leads Vukmir among Republican women voters, 39 percent to 26 percent:

Republicans still want to more about the two senate candidates, with 69 percent saying they don’t know enough about Nicholson while 72 percent still don’t know enough about Vukmir. The two candidates will face each other in the August primary, with the winner facing U.S. Senator Tammy Baldwin (D-WI) in November.

Meanwhile, Baldwin continues to be more unpopular than popular. Of those polled, 37 percent have a favorable view of Baldwin while 39 percent have an unfavorable view of the senator. The percentages are the same as they were in the March poll.

Despite her unfavorable rating, Baldwin still maintains a substantial lead over both of her Republican rivals in head-to-head polling. Baldwin leads Nicholson 50 percent to 39 percent with 7 percent undecided. Baldwin leads Vukmir 49 percent to 40 percent with 8 percent undecided.

Democrats still maintain a lead in voter enthusiasm: 71 percent of Democrats are very excited to vote in the midterm elections while 67 percent of Republicans are very excited. However, the gap was 10 points in March. Dr. Charles Franklin, who directs the poll for Marquette University Law School, cautioned that enthusiasm tends to bounce up and down in midterm election years.

Walker has always polled poorly, except on Election Day, where he gets his usual 52 or 53 percent.


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