The thoughts of a journalist/libertarian–conservative/Christian husband, father, Eagle Scout and aficionado of obscure rock music. Thoughts herein are only the author’s and not necessarily the opinions of his family, friends, neighbors, church members or past, present or future employers.

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The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center just posted these, shall we say, interesting looking maps for today:

The first map shows a 15 percent probability for the component parts of severe weather, high winds (50 knots, or 55 mph) and hail of 1 inch or larger. The second map shows a 5 percent probability for tornadoes, which doesn’t seem like much, but in meteorology (and in math, duh), 5 percent is more than zero.

For what it’s worth, AccuWeather thinks the threat will be slightly south of here:

But the Weather Channel thinks the entire state is at risk for severe weather today:

We’ll see who’s right. We may also find out how the hosts of French foreign exchange students explain to their guests why they have to go to the basement. (To answer the question in the headline, one online translator says it’s “avertissement de tornade,” which looks more like an advertisement for a tornado or an advisory for a tornado than a warning about a tornado.)

3 responses

  1. We interrupt this blog to bring you … « The Presteblog Avatar

    […] weather of the season was predicted. Last year featured three Ripon-area tornado warnings, the second of which gave French students their first taste of Wisconsin severe weather, and the last of which trapped […]

  2. The Presteblog | Education about severe weather Avatar

    […] year except February. One activity during a May visit to Ripon of fifth-grade French students was showing off their host families’ basements. The only time a tornado warning took place during school was on a May day in fourth grade, when […]

  3. On Mock Tornado Warning Day | StevePrestegard.com: The Presteblog Avatar

    […] the west that were part of the first tornado in the state that year (producing this classic video), showed our foreign-exchange student our basement for one tornado warning (a few days after he saw hail for the first time in his life), and, last […]

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