We are about to embark on what might be one of the wildest years in the history of American politics, and it may end up merely as a prelude.
If 2024 is set to be tumultuous and unpredictable, just wait until 2025 if Donald Trump wins the presidency again later this year.
His adversaries don’t have a history of accepting his victories with equanimity. Trump’s unexpected victory in 2016 launched conspiracy theories about how Russia had helped him win, catalyzed a yearslong law-enforcement investigation into him and his campaign based on those theories, and set off protests in the streets.
All that was mild, given what may yet be in the offing.
Trump’s opponents are sincerely, and to some extent understandably, alarmed by his conduct after the 2020 election and how he’s branded his political comeback as a revenge tour.
For most of them, though, saving democracy doesn’t mean upholding the rules no matter what and letting the voters decide the election and the fate of the next president. No, it means blocking Donald Trump by any means necessary, regardless of the consequences for the rule of law, democratic politics, or faith in our system of government.
In this view, democracy has only one legitimate outcome, and it doesn’t involve Donald Trump back at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.
Some Democrats deserve minimal credit for distancing themselves from the Colorado and Maine decisions striking Trump from the ballot and arguing that the right way to defeat Trump is via the voting booth, although this isn’t much of a concession.
What’s already happened has put the country in an unprecedented place. It is hard to imagine what’s more extreme than one side in our politics indicting its leading opponent, creating the real prospect of jailing him in the months prior to an election, and excluding him from the ballot in select states.
Yet, if Trump wins, we have to assume that this is only a taste of things to come. It’s not as though his enemies are going to conclude that Trump was an intolerable threat as a candidate, but once he’s been elected president again, the voters have spoken and everyone should revert to politics as usual.
The Washington Post ran a long, much-discussed essay by respected foreign-policy writer Robert Kagan arguing that Trump has brought the U.S. to the brink of dictatorship. If he returns to power, it will mean “the price of opposing him becomes persecution, the loss of property and possibly the loss of freedom.”
This dire view depends on every institutional bulwark of America’s system — from the courts to the military to public opinion — surrendering to a one-term president who, if history is any guide, will get rebuked in the midterms and become a lame duck by his third year in office.
But if tyranny is where you think we are headed, what’s the appropriate response? Running anti-Trump super-PAC ads this year? Canvassing for President Biden? Going on CNN panels to sound very concerned? In other words, simply all the standard means of political organization and persuasion?
And if Trump emerges victorious, and the alleged dictatorship is underway in earnest?
Certainly, the reaction will make the pro-Hamas protests that have roiled college campuses and disrupted transportation nodes around the country look small-scale by comparison. If the republic is supposedly on the verge of falling, extra-legal means of resistance are justified.
At least some portion of the Left will convince itself that only a color revolution can save the country.
Prior to the 2016 Trump–Clinton contest, one school of Trump supporters posited that it was the “Flight 93 election” — possibly the last chance to save the country. The consequences of failure were so awful that anything was justified to win. Now, that’s the way the Left feels, except Trump won his Flight 93 election, and Joe Biden could well lose his.
If so, there will be much to fear from democracy’s self-styled defenders.
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No comments on Democrats, “democracy” and Trump
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Today in 1967 was not a good day for fans of artistic freedom or the First Amendment, though the First Amendment applies to government against citizens and not the media against individuals.
Before their appearance on CBS-TV’s Ed Sullivan Shew, the Rolling Stones were compelled to change “Let’s Spend the Night Together …”
… to “Let’s Spend Some Time Together”:
The number one British album today in 1977 was ABBA’s “Arrival” …
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The number one British single today in 1960:
The number one single today in 1978:
The number one British single today in 1995 came from a Swedish group that did a wacky country-ish song:
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The number one single today in 1960 topped the charts for the second time:
It’s not a secret that the number one album today in 1973 was Carly Simon’s “No Secrets”:
Today in 1973, Eric Clapton performed in concert for the first time in several years at the Rainbow Theatre in London:
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It figures after War and Peace-size Presty the DJ entries the past few days, today’s is relatively short.
The number one album today in 1974, a few months after the death of its singer, was “You Don’t Mess Around with Jim”:
The number one single today in 1974 introduced the world to the word “pompatus”:
Today in 1982, Bob Geldof was arrested after a disturbance aboard a 727 that had been grounded for five hours:
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Michael Lind recently published a provocative piece in Compact called “Forget the Founding Fathers.”
What would the Founding Fathers think of today’s America? How would they advise us to address the great domestic and foreign challenges of our time? Would they be proud of contemporary Americans for preserving their handiwork, or would they despair at what has become of the United States in the 21st century?
The answer to all of these questions is the same: Who cares? Seriously. Who cares what James Madison would have thought about internet regulation? Who cares what Thomas Jefferson might have said about the war in Ukraine?
The cult of the American founding has no parallels in other English-speaking democracies. A British prime minister who declared that 21st-century Britain must turn for guidance to Robert Walpole or Pitt the Younger would be considered daft.
While there’s a lot one could debate about this piece, it gets at something important. Americans on the right need to spend much more time looking forward than they do looking backward.
We should venerate the Founding Fathers, but they don’t have the answers to today’s problems.
To the extent that American postwar conservatism has a positive vision, much of it is a retro one. It’s about getting back to the Constitution. (Indeed lots of people call themselves “Constitutional conservatives,” even though the Constitution they cherish has been dead and gone for decades). Or getting back to the principles of the American Founding. Or restoring “classical liberalism.” Or populists thinking that we will “bring back the jobs” through onshoring.
There are good impulses here. We shouldn’t be afraid of pointing back to what was good in the past. The past is the source of American identity from which we need to build the future. And not all changes in our society have been good ones to say the least.
At the same time, America has always been a restless, protean, forward looking country.
One of the key paradigms of American culture and identity is the idea of the frontier.
The geographic frontier was declared closed in 1890, but we’ve continued to be a frontier nation in many ways: expanding empire during and after World War II, the suburban “crabgrass frontier,” the space exploration frontier, and the technological frontier. It’s no surprise that the leading edge of AI research is here in America, for example.
Elon Musk is an example of this kind of forward looking person, trying to open the interplanetary frontier on Mars, and driving incredible technological advancement created right here in America along the way.
The American right has largely become backwards looking and has no future vision for either the country or itself. It is certainly not a frontier movement – rural homesteading is fine, but is a retreat not an advance – and in that sense it is missing something important about America.
To the extent that conservatism has ideas, they are mostly small ball, like tweaking child tax credits and the like.
What would a proper 21st America look like, one that is healthy, growing, pushing forward? What does that vision look like for Americans on the right? What does the authentically American idea of the frontier look like today?
These are the questions that today’s right should be seeking to answer. Those answers won’t be found by looking back to a bygone era.
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The number one album today in 1964 was “Ring of Fire: The Best of Johnny Cash,” the first country album to reach the top of the album chart:
The number one single today in 1964, whatever the words were:
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The number one British single today in 1957 was the same single as the previous week …
… though performed by a different act:
The number one British single today in 1958:
The number one album for the fifth consecutive week today in 1976 was “Chicago IX,” which was actually “Chicago’s Greatest Hits”:
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The number one single today in 1955 was banned by ABC Radio stations because it was allegedly in bad taste:
The number one album today in 1961 wasn’t a music album — Bob Newhart’s “The Button Down Mind Strikes Back!”
The number one album today in 1965 was “Beatles ’65”:
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The Beatles had the number one album, “Rubber Soul” …
… and the number one single today in 1966: