The number eight song today in 1958, one week or almost a month after the end (depending on your definition) of summer:
Today in 1967, the Beatles mixed “I Am the Walrus,” which combined three songs John Lennon had been writing. The song includes the sounds of a radio going up and down the dial, ending at a BBC presentation of William Shakespeare’s “King Lear.” Lennon had read that a teacher at his primary school was having his students analyze Beatles lyrics, Lennon reportedly added one nonsensical verse, although arguably none of the verses make much sense:
I haven’t commented on the Brewers recently because I was waiting for them to collapse.
After all, a team with mediocre pitching by old (4.39 earned run average, which is 16th in the 30-team Major League Baseball) or new measure (1.32 WHIP — Walks plus Hits per Inning Pitched) will be only playing out the string in September. Mediocre pitching certainly isn’t enough to overcome mediocre hitting, with the Brewers 18th in runs scored.
The Brewers were handicapped by the loss of relief pitcher Corey Knebel at the start of the season, and then lost outfielder Christian Yelich for the season on, of all things, a fractured kneecap from a fouled-off pitch. Add to that management’s refusal to get quality pitching (as in a starting pitcher you’ve heard of) and the struggles of closer Josh Hader, and the apathetic public persona of manager Craig Counsell, and it would be a miracle for this team to even compete for a playoff spot, especially against the much-better-funded Cubs, Cardinals and Mets.
So this makes no sense:
Or it makes about as much sense as the Brewers missing the playoffs by one game in 2017 and getting to one game of the World Series in 2018 with a roster lacking consistent pitching and with too many automatic outs in the lineup.
On Sept. 5, the Milwaukee Brewers lost 10-5 to the Chicago Cubs in the first game of a four-game series in Milwaukee. They were 7½ games behind the first-place St. Louis Cardinals in the National League Central with 23 games left and five games behind the Cubs for the second wild-card spot — tied with the New York Mets, with the Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies ahead of them. Their playoff odds with 23 games remaining, according to Baseball-Reference.com: 3.1%.
Their odds of winning the division? Less than 0.1%. Not less than 1%. Less than one-tenth of 1%.
Here we are, 19 games later, and the Brewers not only have clinched a playoff spot — they did that by beating the Cincinnati Reds 9-2 on Wednesday — but they are just 1½ games behind the Cardinals in the NL Central. Miracle of miracles, after 17 wins in those 19 games, the Brewers now have their sights on a division title. What a story that would be.
Correction: After their 5–3 win over Cincinnati Thursday the Brewers are now one game back of the Cardinals after winning 18 of 20.
Consider some of the most famous September comebacks in baseball history and where those teams stood with 23 games left:
The Brewers have a chance at history — and those final three games of the Cubs series early in the month got everything going. Given the Cubs’ lead at the time in the wild-card race, it was the turning point in the season for both clubs.
In the Friday game, Christian Yelich hit a three-run home run off Cole Hamels in the third inning, and Zach Davies and three relievers combined for a three-hitter in a 7-1 victory. On Saturday, the Brewers won 3-2 as Yasmani Grandal tied it with a home run in the eighth and Yelich hit a two-out, walk-off double in the ninth. On Sunday, the Brewers scored five runs in the fourth off Jon Lester — Tyler Austin hit a three-run homer — on the way to an 8-5 victory.
Let the good times roll. Just like that, the Brewers were hot and the Cubs were reeling. Milwaukee went into Miami and swept a four-game series, although Yelich went down for the season in the first inning of the second game when a foul ball cracked his right kneecap. The Brewers lost 10-0 in St. Louis but won the next two games. They beat the San Diego Padres in three of four, swept three from the Pittsburgh Pirates and have now taken the first two from the Reds. The Brewers have scored 103 runs in going 17-2 (5.4 per game) and given up only 53 (2.79 per game). Through Sept. 5, the Brewers ranked 18th in the majors with a 4.65 ERA. Since Sept. 6, they rank first with a 2.54 ERA.
“We had another great September,” Lorenzo Cain said after the game. “Back-to-back years we had great Septembers. We’re back in the dance again and it’s find a way to get to the World Series and win it all.”
Yelich, the possible NL MVP until his injury, was on hand to celebrate. “Everybody stepped up. It’s a true sense of a team,” he said as teammates dumped champagne over his head. “We never really cared what our odds were all year, nobody cares about that. We know what we were capable of as a team. We have a lot of talented players and the guys stepped up huge and did a great job. We managed to string them together when it counted, like we did last year. It was somebody different every night.”
At one point, manager Craig Counsell took the floor and pointed around the entire clubhouse: “Take a look,” he said. “This is what a team looks like.”
One thing Schoenfeld’s piece shows is that win odds are stupid to pay attention to unless you’re interested in losing money in sports betting. They fail to give credence to the human element, in which over a short period of time — say, September in a pennant race — people can exceed what they’re supposedly capable of, or perhaps reach what they’re capable of when they previously didn’t. Or, conversely, underperform, as did the Cubs, who appeared to be celebrating the 50th anniversary of their epic September 1969 collapse with a collapse of their own.
(Statistics of any sort are not predictors. They tell you what happened, and they may give you insight into how and why, but they do not tell you what will happen. If they did, sports would die because no one would watch with preordained outcomes. Except in professional wrestling, apparently.)
There is a possible scenario that I would call crazy were it not for the fact it happened to the Cubs last year. It’s possible that the Cardinals and Brewers could tie for the NL Central title Sunday, forcing a one-game playoff Monday, just as the Brewers and Cubs did last year. The winner of that game would move on to the NL Division Series, while the loser would then have to play Washington in the wild card game.
The problem is that whether as a wild card or as the NL Central champion, the Brewers’ chance of getting to the World Series is less than last year. Even if they win the Central they will not have home field advantage for any series because they would have the worst record of a NL division champion. (Even though their home record isn’t earth-shattering, it’s better than their road record, as is usually the case.) If they tie with Washington in record the Brewers would host the wild card game, but then your season comes down to one game.
Out of the five NL playoff teams, the Brewers have the worst starting pitching (4.49 ERA) and the second worst bullpen ERA (4.28). The worst bullpen ERA belongs to the Nationals, so maybe the Brewers can win the wild card game, but against teams with much better pitching staffs — which would include the Dodgers, Braves and Cardinals — their postseason fate does not look promising. Their September successes have been with expanded rosters, but everyone must play only 25 in the postseason.
Can the Brewers possibly win the World Series for their long-suffering announcer?
I’m betting not. I’d love to be proven wrong, but I wasn’t wrong last year.
Jonathan Taylor had no problem wearing tan to his high school prom, and he doesn’t see an issue wearing it for a University of Wisconsin football game.
“I’m a big tan guy,” the Badgers junior running back said. “I like tan. You can pull it off if you do it the right way.”
Judging from his reaction to the design Under Armour came up with for the eighth-ranked Badgers to wear Saturday against Northwestern at Camp Randall Stadium, Taylor thinks the company found a tasteful approach.
Tan isn’t in UW’s traditional palette but it’s the color of the team’s pants for this week’s alternate uniform.
Under Armour, the provider of athletic apparel for both UW and Northwestern, said the designs both teams will wear Saturday are inspired by uniforms once worn by each team. The company issued them as part of the season-long celebration of 150 years of college football.
The Badgers have a largely traditional red jersey and white helmet with new touches on each: Large white letters UW on the chest and the same in red on the sides of the helmet. The back of the jersey doesn’t include the player’s name.
UW head football equipment manager Jeremy Amundson said Under Armour used a photo of a late 19th century Badgers football team as a basis and added its own touches.
One of them is the tan pants, which are more of a departure from the traditional white bottoms and carry an accent of a W inside a circle on the front of the left hip.
“When I saw the pants,” said Taylor, who served as the Badgers’ model for a video unveiling the uniform, “I’m like, ‘Yeah, I like it.’”
Instead of the typical process of Under Armour representatives meeting with the team to come up with a design, Amundson said, the idea for Saturday’s uniforms came directly from the manufacturer.
Company representatives approached UW with the idea in May 2018, and the Badgers jumped on board.
Northwestern’s uniforms are out of the same design, only in purple and white and with NU instead of UW.
Amundson said Under Armour appealed to the NCAA to allow the jerseys to go without numbers on the front to more accurately replicate the ones being worn in an 1891 photo, but the organization nixed the idea.
The Badgers haven’t worn a true alternate jersey since 2012, when Adidas made new looks for UW and Nebraska for a 30-27 Cornhuskers victory in Lincoln. Under coach Gary Andersen in 2013 and 2014, the Badgers experimented with red helmets and red pants.
Amundson said there are both practical and historical reasons why the Badgers don’t typically have dozens of jersey combinations like some other schools.
The practical is money. A new set of helmets alone can cost up to $100,000, funds that he said would take away from other opportunities for athletes. For this week, UW is simply replacing decals on its existing helmets and swapping out red face masks for gray ones.
The historical is that, well, the Badgers have typically worn predictable combinations.
“There’s definitely a traditional element to it,” Amundson said. “We’ve never had a kid come here because he’s going to get to wear any fancy uniform. We’re pretty tried and true with our red and white.”
Coach Paul Chryst acquiesced to players’ wishes to change things up for last week’s victory against Michigan and wear the black shoes that were being broken in as part of the new design for this week.
“He was on board,” senior outside linebacker Zack Baun said. “He’s more happy to see the guys energized about it. He’s just happy that we’re happy.”
Other than Taylor, who was in on the plans for the alternate jersey because he wore it in the video shoot, players were unaware of the new look until fall camp.
Saying that the unveiling drew a positive reaction would be an understatement, Baun said.
“Everyone was screaming, yelling,” he said. “I’m pretty sure I was jumping up and down. It’s exciting because we’ve never got to do anything like that.”
It was so well received, senior inside linebacker Chris Orr said, because it’s so different from what’s normal at UW.
“When you put it together from looking at the uniform that they’re trying to imitate, it actually looks good,” he said. “It looks like a new-age version of the old cotton sweaters that they were wearing. I like it.”
At least one Badgers player made it sound like he would just as well play in one of those sweaters.
“They’re just uniforms. Honestly, whatever,” junior center Tyler Biadasz said. “We’re going to be a different color, but we’re still hitting the purple jerseys, I guess.”
This is, of course, ridiculous. The only acceptable throwback uniform is this one …
… from the 1960s Rose Bowl teams.
While I get the tan pants (because all football pants were tan canvas and, for that matter, all helmets were brown leather once upon a time), this goes back to no era of UW football.
The throwback helmet had the W on the front, not a “UW” on the side, and at no point has UW ever used a non-serif number font or had “UW” on the front. These are as useless as the Blue Bay Packers throwbacks the Packers have been unfortunately wearing. And without the names on the back, well, if you’re going to Saturday’s game and you haven’t seen them before tomorrow, your guess will be as good as anyone else’s as to who is whom.
There may be only one way for this stupid trend to stop, and that is for the team that thinks this is a good idea to lose.
I’m sorry adults have frightened you about climate change and how it might affect your future. You might be less afraid if you knew some facts that adults intentionally do not explain to you. I’ll tell you here.
The news was once a source of real information, or so we thought. But in the modern world, the news people discovered they can make more money by presenting scary news regardless of whether it is true or not. Today, much of the news on the right and the left is opinion that is meant to scare you, not inform you, because scary things get more attention, and that makes the news business more profitable. The same is true for people who write books; authors often make books scary so you will buy them. Most adults know all the scariness is not real. Most kids do not. You just learned it.
Nuclear energy used to be dangerous, back in the olden days. Today’s nuclear power plants (the ones built in the past 20 years all over the world) have killed zero people, and are considered the safest form of energy in the world. More people have died installing solar panels and falling off roofs than have died from nuclear power problems anywhere in the world for the past few decades. And nuclear energy is the obvious way to address climate change, say most of the smartest adults in the world, because it can provide abundant, cheap, clean energy with zero carbon emissions.
Nuclear energy as a solution to climate change is one of the rare solutions backed by several Democrats running for president and nearly all Republicans. Please note that two Democrats in favor of nuclear energy (Corey Booker and Andrew Yang) are among the youngest and smartest in the game. To be fair, the oldest Democrat running for president, Joe Biden, also supports nuclear energy because he is well-informed.
If you are worried about nuclear waste, you probably should not be. Every country with nuclear energy (and there are lots of them) successfully stores their nuclear waste. If you put all the nuclear waste in the world in one place, it would fit on one football field. It isn’t a big problem. And new nuclear power designs will actually eat that nuclear waste and turn it into electricity, so the total amount of waste could come way down.
The United Nations estimates that the economic impact of climate change will reduce the economy by 10% in eighty years. What they don’t tell you is that the economy will be about five times bigger and better by then, so you won’t even notice the 10% that didn’t happen. And that worst case is only if we do nothing to address climate change, which is not the case.
A number of companies have recently built machines that can suck CO2 right out of the air. At the moment, using those machines would be too expensive. But as they come down in cost and improve in efficiency, we have a solution already in hand should it ever be needed. It would be expensive, but there is no real risk of CO2 ruining the world now that we know how to remove any excess from the atmosphere. (Plants need CO2 to thrive, so we don’t want to remove too much. Greenhouses actually pump in CO2 to make plants grow better.)
Scientists tell us that we could reduce climate risks by planting more trees. (A lot more.) That’s all doable, should the world decide it is necessary. There are a number of other companies and technologies that also address climate change in a variety of ways. Any one of the approaches I mentioned (nuclear energy, CO2 scrubbers, planting trees) could be enough to address any climate risks, but there are dozens of ways of dealing with climate change, and more coming every day.
Throughout all modern history, when we humans see a problem coming from far away, we have a 100% success rate in solving it. Climate change is no different. All the right people are working hard at a wide variety of solutions and already know how to get there, meaning more nuclear power plus CO2 scrubbers, plus lots of green power from solar, wind, and more.
If you are worried about rising sea levels, don’t be. The smartest and richest people in the world are still buying property on the beach. They don’t see the problem. And if sea levels do rise, it will happen slowly enough for people to adjust.
Adults sometimes like to use children to carry their messages because it makes it hard for the other side to criticize them without seeming like monsters. If adults have encouraged you to panic about climate change without telling you what I am telling you here, they do not have your best interests at heart. They are using you.
When you ask adults about nuclear energy, expect them to have old understanding about it, meaning they don’t know the newer nuclear energy technologies are the safest energy on the planet.
What I told you today is not always understood even by adults. You are now smarter than most adults on the topic of climate.
Wisconsin’s attorney general says the governor doesn’t have to answer questions from anyone other than “bona fide” journalists.
Attorney General Josh Kaul made that argument in his response to a lawsuit from the MacIver News Service, which is suing Gov. Tony Evers for being excluded from State Capitol press events.
MacIver, which operates as a news agency under the auspices of the free-market MacIver Institute, wants to be able to attend certain press briefings, namely the sneak peak of the state budget, but Kaul said Evers’ administration can exclude groups if he doesn’t consider them real news organizations.
Kaul’s response says those opportunities are “open to only a select group of invited journalists who meet the criteria for bona fide press organizations.”
Kaul does not define what makes a group a bone fide press organization, nor does his filing list who is or is not on that list. Kaul’s office also did not respond to questions about what makes a journalism organization bona fide, or comment on other possible conflicts of interest for other statehouse media outlets.
MacIver has said liberal-leaning groups have been invited to cover the governor’s press briefings.
MacIver President Brett Healy said the governor’s self-selection of who gets to write about his office is a First Amendment threat.
“All MacIver wants to do is ask the Governor straight-forward questions about his policies and the actions of his administration,” Healy said Monday. “MacIver cannot do our job on behalf of the Wisconsin taxpayer if we are prevented from attending the Governor’s press briefings and other public events.”
Kaul’s filing before the court offers a pithy response to that idea.
“MacIver does not argue that its journalists will be unable to report on news relating to Governor Evers absent an injunction. It simply argues that it will have to work harder to gather news and break stories relating to Gov. Evers,” Kaul wrote.
Healy said it’s not about working harder, it’s about the simple job of making sure that people know what their government is doing.
“I’m not sure why Governor Evers would be afraid to answer simple questions from the local media,” Healy added.
It’s unknown when the judge assigned the case will rule on Kaul’s request to dismiss MacIver’s lawsuit, or when there may be another hearing.
Skipping out on media you don’t like? Evers’ predecessor never did that. In fact, I observed Walker answering questions from a freelancer who worked for Sly when he was doing his Madison liberal talk show. Walker didn’t duck his questions.
The marketplace can, and does, determine what journalism is deemed legitimate. We’re sure our liberal friends grit their teeth (at a minimum) when President Trump accuses certain outlets as being “Fake News.” They should feel no different when that approach is taken in a court of law by a liberal governor or attorney general.
And had a Republican governor ducked the media as Evers is, with Kaul’s blessing, Democrats would be calling for the governor’s and attorney general’s recalls.
Today in 1965, Roger Daltrey was fired from The Who after he punched out drummer Keith Moon. Fortunately for Daltrey and the Who, he was unfired the next day. (Daltrey and Pete Townshend reportedly have had more fistfights than Muhammad Ali and Joe Frazier.)
Sixteen-year-old Swedish climate change activist Greta Thunberg lives in the healthiest, wealthiest, safest, and most peaceful era humans have ever known. She is one of the luckiest people ever to have lived.
In a just world, Thunberg would be at the United Nations thanking capitalist countries for bequeathing her this remarkable inheritance. Instead, she, like millions of other indoctrinated kids her age, act as if they live in a uniquely broken world on the precipice of disaster. This is a tragedy.
“You have stolen my dreams and my childhood with your empty words,” Thunberg lectured the world. And maybe she’s right. We’ve failed her by raising a generation of pagans who’ve filled the vacuum left by the absence of faith, not with rationality, but with a cultish worship of Mother Earth and the state. Although, to be fair, the Bible-thumping evangelical’s moral certitude is nothing but a rickety edifice compared to the moral conviction of a Greta Thunberg.
It’s not, of course, her fault. Adults have spent a year creating a 16-year-old because her soundbites comport with their belief system. It was “something about her raw honesty around a message of blunt-force fear [that] turned this girl from invisible to global,” says CNN in a news report about a child with a narrow, age-appropriate, grasp of the world.
It should be noted that “blunt-force fear” is indeed the correct way to describe the concerted misinformation that Thunberg has likely been subjected to since nursery school. There probably isn’t a public school in America that hasn’t plied the panic-stricken talk of environmental disaster in their auditoriums over and over again. New York City and other school systems offer millions of kids an excused absence so they could participate in political climate marches this week, as if it were a religious or patriotic holiday.
We’ve finally convinced a generation of Americans to be Malthusians. According to Scott Rasmussen’s polling, nearly 30 percent of voters now claim to believe that it’s “at least somewhat likely” that the earth will become uninhabitable and humanity will be wiped out over the next 10-15 years. Half of voters under 35 believe it is likely we are on the edge of extinction. Is there any wonder why our youngest generation has a foreboding sense of doom?
It’s the fault of ideologues who obsess over every weather event as if it were Armageddon, ignoring the massive moral upside of carbon-fueled modernity. It’s the fault of the politicians, too cowardly to tell voters that their utopian visions of a world run on solar panels and windmills is fairy tale.
It’s the fault of media that constantly ignores overwhelming evidence that, on balance, climate change isn’t undermining human flourishing. By nearly every quantifiable measure, in fact, we are better off because of fossil fuels — though there is no way to measure the human spirit, I’m afraid.
Thunberg might do well to sail her stern gaze and billowing anger to India or China and wag her finger at the billions of people who no longer want to live in poverty and destitution. Because if climate change is irreversible in the next 10-12 years, as cultists claim, it can be blamed in large part on the historic growth we’ve seen in developing nations.
China’s emissions from aviation and maritime trade alone are twice that of the United States, and more than the entire emissions of most nations in the world. But, sure, let’s ban straws as an act of contrition.
Boomers, of course, have failed on plenty of fronts, but the idea that an entire generation of Americans should have chosen poverty over prosperity to placate the vacuous complaints of privileged future teenagers is absurd. No generation would do it. Until recently, no advanced nation has embraced Luddism. Although these days, Democrats who advocate for bans on fossil fuels and carbon-mitigating technologies such as fracking and nuclear energy are working on it.
Climate activists could learn something from Thunberg’s honesty, though. She argues that “money and fairy tales of eternal economic growth” have to come to an end. The emission cuts that environmentalists insist are needed to save the earth would mean economic devastation and the end of hundreds of years of economic growth. This is a tradeoff progressives pretend doesn’t exist.
And Thunberg’s dream for the future means technocratic regimes will have to displace capitalistic societies. We can see this future in the radical environmentalist plans of Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s New Green Deal, one supported by leading Democratic Party candidates. It’s authoritarianism. There is no other way to describe a regulatory regime that dictates exactly what Americans can consume, sell, drive, eat, and work on.
One imagines that most Americans, through their actions, will continue to reject these regressive ideas. One reason they should is so that Greta Thunberg’s generation won’t have to suffer needlessly.
The debt ceiling is supposed to be a fiscal control that forces Congress to balance the budget or at least reduce annual deficits. That our federal government’s gross debt stands at $22.6 trillion, and that this year’s annual deficit is close to $1 trillion, proves it hasn’t worked. Elected officials have become skilled at circumventing the debt ceiling and mortgaging our children’s future with impunity.
That’s why the Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs, which I chair, passed a bill in June to force some fiscal discipline on Congress and end the cost and chaos of government shutdowns. There have been similar bills. Sens. Rob Portman and Mark Warner each introduced legislation earlier this year to fund the government automatically and avoid shutdowns. At least eight bills in the House seek to do the same. Some of these proposals decrease spending, while others would allow for more. None have passed because each party is suspicious that the other will exploit mandated spending discipline.
Sens. James Lankford and Maggie Hassan, a Republican from Oklahoma and a Democrat from New Hampshire, introduced a compromise measure that operates similarly to Wisconsin’s law. If Congress can’t pass an appropriations bill, their legislation would automatically appropriate funding for the affected parts of government at current levels. As an incentive, it prohibits members of Congress, their staffs and certain members of the administration from spending federal or campaign funds for travel until all the required appropriations bills pass. It also prevents both chambers of Congress from considering legislation other than appropriations bills except in rare cases of national emergency. Our committee added an amendment that would hold members’ pay in escrow until all regular appropriations bills pass.
We might be surprised at how not getting paid, or having to pay for their own travel, would get members’ attention. Despite the usual dysfunction and slow pace of the Senate, it’s amazing how efficiently the body can function when a weekend or a recess is approaching and members are worried they might miss it.
I moved the Lankford-Hassan bill through my committee because I thought it had the best chance of getting bipartisan support. I was right. The bill, as amended, passed the committee 12-2. The two no votes were Republican members who had competing bills.Skeptics who fear the bill could become the long-term funding mechanism for the federal government should look at Wisconsin’s example. The longest period the provision has been in effect in Madison is four months—and that was in 1971. It makes more sense to hold spending at previous levels for a short period than to incur the cost and chaos of recurring shutdowns.
Anyone concerned that Congress would leave spending unchanged for the long term doesn’t understand the pervasive bipartisan support for increased spending. Before this August’s congressional recess, Congress worked out a budget deal that again suspended the debt ceiling (though July 2021) and raised spending by $320 billion over existing law in the next two fiscal years. The bill passed the Senate 67-28 and the House 284-149. A majority of nearly two-thirds in each chamber had no trouble simply suspending the debt ceiling and locking in annual deficits of about $1 trillion each year.
Members voting for the August budget deal and debt suspension felt the agreement would remove the threat of a government shutdown heading into the new fiscal year on Oct. 1. Yet last week the Senate could not muster the votes to advance a bill appropriating defense funds, and Senate leaders are now talking about passing a 35th continuing resolution to get us to November. The dysfunction continues.
I’m convinced, based on the discussion and votes in my committee, that the Prevent Government Shutdown Act of 2019 can pass with broad bipartisan support. Congress should vote on it before the end of the fiscal year. It’s the least we can do to reduce Washington’s pervasive dysfunction.